StatTrak MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear)

4.9 3054 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.65
+16.35%
Last month
$ 2.23
+23.45%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 10.77
+6.63%
In a quarter
$ 11.81
+16.93%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
50% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
119 offers on 9 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Bitskins
Bitskins
1 offers
from $ 11.74
Steam
Steam
20 offers
from $ 12.61
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
10 offers
from $ 13.96
White.Market
White.Market
20 offers
from $ 14.22
Skinport
Skinport
14 offers
from $ 14.31
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
11 offers
from $ 14.6
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
15 offers
from $ 14.61
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
15 offers
from $ 15
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
13 offers
from $ 15.47
Inspect skin
StatTrak MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
MP5-SD | Phosphor inspecting MP5-SD | Phosphor reloading MP5-SD | Phosphor holding MP5-SD | Phosphor pose-1 MP5-SD | Phosphor pose-2 MP5-SD | Phosphor pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 11.74
  • 24h price change: 16.24%
  • 7 days low: $ 10.09
  • 7 days high: $ 44.39
  • 7 days price change: 16.35%
  • 30 days low: $ 9.51
  • 30 days high: $ 54.89
  • 30 days price change: 23.45%
  • 90 days low: $ 9.4
  • 90 days high: $ 54.89
  • Year low: $ 9.4
  • Year high: $ 1 894
  • All time low: $ 9.4
  • All time high: $ 1 894
  • All time max offers: 165
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 5
  • Sales for last 7 days: 64
  • Sales for last 30 days: 305
  • Sales for last 90 days: 701
  • All time sales: 1882
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 0.1691
  • Volatility: 26.57%
  • Liquidity: 23.86%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 10.77
  • Price forecast change in a month: 6.63%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 11.81
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 16.93%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 11.02
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 10.17
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 11.27
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 10.32
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 12.67
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 10.03
Action
✋ Hold
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 11.17
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 11.39
Action
✋ Hold
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 10.5
Action
❌ Avoid
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 11.02
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 10.76
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 10.92
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 10.49
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 10.75
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 9.4
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 10.17
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 11.27
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 10.32
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 12.67
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 12.33
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 10.03
Action
✋ Hold
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 11.17
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 11.39
Action
✋ Hold
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 10.5
Action
❌ Avoid
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 10.38
Action
❌ Avoid
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
50%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1912
3220
2516
10163
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 27
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 750
  • Movement speed: 235
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.7 3169
In a year 116%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
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Battle-Scarred
4.7 3124
In a year 149%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
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MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Factory New
4.7 3252
In a year 183%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
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MP5-SD
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Field-Tested
4.7 3125
In a year 153%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
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MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Minimal Wear
4.7 3279
In a year 133%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Well-Worn
4.8 1516
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
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MP5-SD
Agent
$ 0.62
77%
From last month
144 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1537
In a year 50%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Factory New
$ 4.18
49%
From last month
99 offers on 10 markets
$ 0.64
36%
From last month
423 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1621
In a year 45%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Minimal Wear
$ 1.28
41%
From last month
161 offers on 10 markets
4.8 1669
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Well-Worn
$ 0.81
98%
From last month
95 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497088
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
4.4 497005
In a year 191%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Battle-Scarred
4.4 497056
In a year 205%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Factory New
4.4 497101
In a year 103%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Field-Tested
$ 6.7
66%
From last month
317 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497047
In a year 145%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Minimal Wear
$ 8.65
31%
From last month
149 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497042
In a year 136%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Well-Worn
$ 7.06
35%
From last month
37 offers on 7 markets
4.8 967033
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
4.8 967136
In half a year 55%
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
Battle-Scarred

Description

Blazing with the vibrant and striking Phosphor skin, keeping stealth and precision with shots under suppression. The minimal wear condition guarantees this skin will look sleek and shiny; thus, it is highly desirable for any serious CS2 player.

History

History

The StatTrak MP5-SD | Phosphor was released in Counter-Strike: Global Offensive on December 6th, 2018. It was initially released as part of the Danger Zone Case and with the "Welcome to the Danger Zone" update. This noticeable skin was designed by the community artist "SA_22" and added uniqueness to the MP5-SD weapon.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear) is one of the very rare and demanded skins within CS2. This skin opens through a container, namely Danger Zone Case, deriving from the most rewarded items pool of the wide Collection called The Danger Zone, displaying a smooth design decorated with phosphorescent accents.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak MP5-SD | Phosphor has a very high demand and an incredibly high popularity of 95%. Because it is highly demanded, the skin has become one of the most popular items in CS2 by daily sales volume and market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear) is one of 237 other SMG skins, which makes it relatively exclusive to obtain for the players of CS2. This skin has a Classified rarity classification, which puts it into the category of very rare drops, with only an estimated 3.2% chance of getting it.

Availability

Availability

The price of the StatTrak MP5-SD | Phosphor Minimal Wear for CS2 skins is within the range of $2.55-$17.26, which is pretty cheap. It is highly available because one can purchase it from any market, hence easy to get for a player who wants to add it to his or her collection. Moreover, there are 386.2K units of the Phosphor skin available in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The MP5-SD | Phosphor from CS2 has a float value of 0.00 to 0.80 and is one of the highly desired skins in the game. Because it has such a huge range of wear, there is a wide variety of different levels of wear that a collector can get. There is a StatTrak variant for each exterior. Track your kills in style with the Phosphor's bright, eye-catching design.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Community Sentiment: The community sentiment of the StatTrak MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear) is very positive in CS2, with an incredibly high rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars, with over 2.9K votes on addskins.gg. Also, its popularity is further enforced since this skin is owned by renowned professional CS2 players like flusha, kennys, and s1mple.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear) in CS2 has a Gunsmith-inspired finish with the combination of patina and custom paint styles. Green and blue colors add a bit of vibrancy to this weapon, but pattern indexes do not change the distinct finish of Phosphor.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 10.77 (6.63%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 11.81 (16.93%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.