StatTrak MP7 | Guerrilla (Factory New)

4.7 2184 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.77
+33.65%
Last month
$ 1.77
+33.65%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 7.77
+10.53%
In a quarter
$ 9.83
+39.83%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
65% - Forecast accuracy
20% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
30 offers on 8 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
White.Market
White.Market
7 offers
from $ 7.03
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
4 offers
from $ 7.96
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
2 offers
from $ 7.96
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
3 offers
from $ 9.56
Steam
Steam
7 offers
from $ 9.93
Skinport
Skinport
5 offers
from $ 12.72
CS.DEALS
CS.DEALS
1 offers
from $ 23
Bitskins
Bitskins
1 offers
from $ 25
Inspect skin
StatTrak MP7 | Guerrilla (Factory New)
Gallery
MP7 | Guerrilla inspecting MP7 | Guerrilla reloading MP7 | Guerrilla holding MP7 | Guerrilla pose-1 MP7 | Guerrilla pose-2 MP7 | Guerrilla pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 7.03
  • 7 days low: $ 5.26
  • 7 days high: $ 238
  • 7 days price change: 33.65%
  • 30 days low: $ 5.26
  • 30 days high: $ 281
  • 30 days price change: 33.65%
  • 90 days low: $ 5.26
  • 90 days high: $ 281
  • Year low: $ 2.81
  • Year high: $ 281
  • All time low: $ 2.81
  • All time high: $ 281
  • All time max offers: 37
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 3
  • Sales for last 7 days: 17
  • Sales for last 30 days: 56
  • Sales for last 90 days: 124
  • All time sales: 339
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 1.28
  • Volatility: 14.68%
  • Liquidity: 29.1%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 7.77
  • Price forecast change in a month: 10.53%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 9.83
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 39.83%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak MP7 | Guerrilla (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 5.71
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 5.71
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 6.37
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.66
11.56%
Result
👍 Success
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 6.37
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 6.37
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 6.37
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 5.71
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 5.71
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 5.71
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 4.4
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 6.37
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.66
11.56%
Result
👍 Success
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 6.37
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 6.37
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 6.37
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 7.8
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 6.39
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 6.39
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 6.39
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 6.42
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 6.92
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 5.4
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 7.21
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 6.91
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 6.35
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.66
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 12.08
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
65%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
20%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2013
3421
2717
10968
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 29
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 750
  • Movement speed: 220
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
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MP7 | Abyssal Apparition
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Minimal Wear
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275%
From last month
2005 offers on 10 markets
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MP7 | Akoben
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4.4 6357
In a year 130%
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MP7 | Akoben
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Factory New
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In a year 61%
MP7 | Akoben
Mil-Spec Grade
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MP7
Akoben
Field-Tested
$ 0.29
45%
From last month
441 offers on 8 markets
4.4 6470
In a year 125%
MP7 | Akoben
Mil-Spec Grade
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Minimal Wear
4.4 6394
In a year 128%
MP7 | Akoben
Mil-Spec Grade
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MP7
Akoben
Well-Worn
4.8 2779
MP7 | Armor Core
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP7
Armor Core
4.8 2748
In a year 44%
MP7 | Armor Core
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP7
Armor Core
Battle-Scarred
$ 0.2
82%
From last month
43 offers on 6 markets
4.8 2776
In a year 46%
MP7 | Armor Core
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP7
Armor Core
Factory New
$ 0.56
40%
From last month
342 offers on 9 markets
4.8 2706
In a quarter -46%
MP7 | Armor Core
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP7
Armor Core
Field-Tested
$ 0.21
133%
From last month
305 offers on 9 markets
4.8 2778
In a year 60%
MP7 | Armor Core
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP7
Armor Core
Minimal Wear
$ 0.4
100%
From last month
179 offers on 8 markets

Description

The StatTrak MP7 | Guerrilla (Factory New) is a very adaptable submachine gun, great for intense close-quarters battles, but it does not come cheap. The vibrant green base with intricate black accents is complemented by a unique design featuring a determined monkey facing forward, reminding its wielder that sometimes unexpected warriors can reign supreme.

History

History

The StatTrak MP7 | Guerrilla (Factory New) was presented to the Counter-Strike: Global Offensive community for the first time on September 21st, 2021, when it dropped as a part of Operation Riptide Case. This skin was designed by the extremely talented community artist "BASBAY," and very soon it got very popular due to its intricate details and realistic view of guerrilla warfare.

Origin

Origin

The Guerrilla is a rare skin, and it is part of the Operation Riptide Collection, which includes several skins designed for the event with the same name in CS2. The StatTrak MP7 | Guerrilla (Factory New) can be obtained by opening the Operation Riptide Case container, which holds a range of exclusive weapon finishes.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak MP7 | Guerrilla (Factory New) is highly sought after, with a popularity rating of 75%, placing it among the most coveted items in CS2. Its desirability is determined by its strong daily sales volume and premium price, making it a prized possession among players.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak MP7 | Guerrilla (Factory New) is one of 237 other SMG skins existing in CS2, which makes it a rather popular skin among players. The Guerrilla has an estimated drop chance of 79.92%, with a rarity of Mil-Spec Grade.

Availability

Availability

The price of the StatTrak MP7 | Guerrilla is pretty low, between $0.19 and $3.83, so this sleek and stylish skin, luckily, is currently widely available in several markets, which means it can be easily bought by CS2 players. Indeed, there are already 900.7K units of the Guerrilla skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The StatTrak MP7 | Guerrilla is available in all exteriors, including float values from 0.00 to 1.00. This provides players with a chance to enjoy the skin in its sleek design and with the tracking feature across varying conditions.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Community sentiment regarding StatTrak MP7 | Guerrilla (Factory New) is very positive. On addskins.gg, this skin has received more than 2.1K votes, with an average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars. Moreover, the popularity of this skin is further underlined by the fact that it belongs to the well-known professional CS2 player s1mple.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak MP7 | Guerrilla (Factory New) for CS2 features a "Custom Paint Job" style with a bright Guerrilla finish in a wide spectrum of colors. Dominating the skin is an entrancing green tint. However, pattern indexes don't change the specific Guerrilla finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak MP7 | Guerrilla (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 7.77 (10.53%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 9.83 (39.83%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

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