StatTrak MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New)

4.8 1954 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 0.09
+10.98%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.66
-27.47%
In a quarter
$ 0.96
+5.49%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
34% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
155 offers on 9 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
StatTrak MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New)
Gallery
MP9 | Black Sand inspecting MP9 | Black Sand reloading MP9 | Black Sand holding MP9 | Black Sand pose-1 MP9 | Black Sand pose-2 MP9 | Black Sand pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.91
  • 7 days low: $ 0.91
  • 7 days high: $ 14.26
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.82
  • 30 days high: $ 14.37
  • 30 days price change: 10.98%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.65
  • 90 days high: $ 18.37
  • Year low: $ 0.65
  • Year high: $ 163
  • All time low: $ 0.65
  • All time high: $ 163
  • All time max offers: 297
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 13
  • Sales for last 7 days: 83
  • Sales for last 30 days: 330
  • Sales for last 90 days: 852
  • All time sales: 2487
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: -0.4121
  • Volatility: 23.04%
  • Liquidity: 21.59%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.66
  • Price forecast change in a month: -27.47%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.96
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 5.49%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.89
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.75
Action
📉 Sell
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.85
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.89
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.87
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.87
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.76
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.75
Action
📉 Sell
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.72
Action
📉 Sell
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.73
Action
📉 Sell
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.87
Action
📉 Sell
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.85
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.85
Action
❌ Avoid
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.82
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.93
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.97
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.96
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.99
Action
❌ Avoid
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 1.16
Action
❌ Avoid
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
34%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1811
3118
2515
9859
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 857
  • Movement speed: 240
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The StatTrak MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New) is a highly advanced SMG manufactured in Switzerland, renowned for its exceptional ergonomics and one of the go-to choices for many private security firms. The sleek design has been custom painted with a tan and black military camo pattern. It shows how fast this submachine gun can neutralize the threats and stop campaigns before they even begin.

History

History

The StatTrak MP9 | Black Sand had been added to CS2 on February 14th, 2018, when it became part of the Clutch Case accompanying the "Welcome to the Clutch" update. This gorgeous skin was designed by a talented community designer, MGBazz, and thus pretty quickly found its way into many players' hearts due to an elegant black base with intricate patterns reminding one of sand.

Origin

Origin

This version of StatTrak MP9 | Black Sand Factory New is an opened Clutch Case container that can drop one of the many skins for various weapons. The skin is part of The Clutch Collection, a set of sleek and stylish skins.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New) is one of the most popular skins within the CS2 community, having an impressive popularity rating of 85%. This places it in the top 15% of the rarest items in the game, a standing determined by its consistent high sales volume and its relatively high price in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New) is one of 237 other SMG skins available in CS2. Skin has a Mil-Spec Grade and thus is relatively common drop, as it is estimated to have about a 79.92% drop chance.

Availability

Availability

The MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New) is an extremely cheap skin, having a price range of only $0.03-$0.56. It is currently very available and can be bought from several markets. Moreover, there is a pretty huge supply of about 3.8 million units of the Black Sand in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

CS2 StatTrak MP9 | Black Sand does have a float value between 0.00 and 1.00, and it's basically obtainable with every exterior available. On top of this, there is also a StatTrak variant of each exterior, which only helps increase the demand among collectors for this particular skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Community sentiment regarding the StatTrak MP9 | Black Sand Factory New skin for CS2 has generally been very positive. Support from the community was incredibly positive, as more than 1.8K votes were reached on addskins.gg with a rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. It was also popular due to the fact that two extremely popular professional CS2 players, named guardian and snax, own this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

The MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New) from the StatTrak series of CS2 features the "Custom Paint Job" style and is predominantly Black Sand in color. It has a large number of colors in which various parts of this skin can be customized, but for this particular one, black dominates. The pattern indexes don't affect the appearance of the Black Sand finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 0.66 (-27.47%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 0.96 (5.49%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players