StatTrak MP9 | Black Sand (Well-Worn)

4.8 1815 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.04
+57.14%
Last month
$ 0.04
+57.14%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.061
-44.55%
In a quarter
$ 0.101
-8.09%
Action
Decision:
✋ Hold
Confidence:
👎 Low
50% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
356 offers on 8 markets
Updated4 minutes ago
Marketplace
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1 offers
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Lis-skins
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9 offers
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1 offers
from $ 0.85
Inspect skin
StatTrak MP9 | Black Sand (Well-Worn)
Gallery
MP9 | Black Sand inspecting MP9 | Black Sand reloading MP9 | Black Sand holding MP9 | Black Sand pose-1 MP9 | Black Sand pose-2 MP9 | Black Sand pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.11
  • 24h price change: 22.22%
  • 7 days low: $ 0.07
  • 7 days high: $ 1 000
  • 7 days price change: 57.14%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.07
  • 30 days high: $ 1 000
  • 30 days price change: 57.14%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.06
  • 90 days high: $ 1 000
  • Year low: $ 0.049
  • Year high: $ 1 000
  • All time low: $ 0.049
  • All time high: $ 1 000
  • All time max offers: 1202
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 39
  • Sales for last 7 days: 354
  • Sales for last 30 days: 2737
  • Sales for last 90 days: 4897
  • All time sales: 14540
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 0.0274
  • Volatility: 17.81%
  • Liquidity: 14.47%
  • Decision: ✋ Hold
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.061
  • Price forecast change in a month: -44.55%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.101
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -8.09%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak MP9 | Black Sand (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.08
Action
📉 Sell
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.079
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.076
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.07
Action
✋ Hold
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 0.07
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.09
Action
✋ Hold
November 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.08
Action
📉 Sell
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.079
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.076
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.06
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.06
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.06
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.07
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.07
Action
❌ Avoid
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 0.07
Action
❌ Avoid
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 0.08
Action
❌ Avoid
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 0.07
Action
✋ Hold
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 0.07
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.09
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.08
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.09
Action
❌ Avoid
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.09
Action
❌ Avoid
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.09
Action
✋ Hold
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
50%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1811
3118
2515
9859
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 857
  • Movement speed: 240
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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4.8 1949
In half a year -39%
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Factory New
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117%
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$ 0.11
120%
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1077 offers on 8 markets

Description

The MP9 SMG is a state-of-the-art, highly-sought-after polymer firearm manufactured in Switzerland by private security organizations. With its well-worn custom paint job featuring a military-inspired tan and black camouflage pattern, it's the perfect tool to terminate any adversary's plans before they've even begun.

History

History

The StatTrak MP9 | Black Sand (Well-Worn) first appeared in CS2 on February 14th, 2018, together with the Clutch Case, released alongside the "Welcome to the Clutch" update. This remarkable skin, created by the brilliant community designer "MGBazz," quickly found its place in the hearts of players due to its peculiar design and an additional feature of StatTrak technology.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak MP9 | Black Sand (Well-Worn) is one of the most wanted skins, obtainable by opening a case of Clutch Case, where the luckiest players get a chance to find its sleek and deadly design. It also belongs to The Clutch Collection, which makes it proud and adds prestige to any player's loadout.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak MP9 | Black Sand (Well-Worn) is one of the most popular skins in CS2, with an 85% popularity rating. It regularly features in the top 15% of the most sold items in the game, based on its sales volume and price.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak MP9 | Black Sand (Well-Worn) is one of 237 other SMG skins existing in CS2. The skin has a Mil-Spec Grade rarity, making it a relatively common drop with an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The price of the StatTrak MP9 | Black Sand (Well-Worn) for CS2 starts from $0.03 and goes up to $0.56, which is very cheap. This skin is also available on many markets and can be easily purchased. Moreover, 3.8 million units of the Black Sand skin are available in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

It means in CS2, StatTrak MP9 | Black Sand (Well-Worn) is available in all sorts of exteriors. This skin ranges in a float value from 0.00 to 1.00. Additionally, each exterior variety of this skin has its version of StatTrak for the exact tracking of kills made by players.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment of the StatTrak MP9 | Black Sand (Well-Worn) within CS2 is extremely good, with a rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars and over 1.8K votes on addskins.gg. Additionally, this skin is owned by popular professional players such as guardian and snax, boosting its popularity further and making it desirable for the CS2 community.

Finish style

Finish style

The skin StatTrak MP9 | Black Sand (Well-Worn) shows the custom paint job style in CS2, which allows a lot of room for color combination customization. In this case, though, the main emphasis of this skin is the multiple shades of black, giving the weapon a sleek and unvarying look. The pattern indexes have no impact on the Black Sand finish since it looks consistent and elegant.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak MP9 | Black Sand (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 0.061 (-44.55%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.101 (-8.09%). Confidence is low — it is advised to hold.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players