StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Battle-Scarred)

4.5 3723 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.01
+6.67%
Last month
$ 0.03
+23.08%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.117
-26.62%
In a quarter
$ 0.196
+22.75%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
64% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
67% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
362 offers on 8 markets
Updated7 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Battle-Scarred)
Gallery
MP9 | Modest Threat inspecting MP9 | Modest Threat reloading MP9 | Modest Threat holding MP9 | Modest Threat pose-1 MP9 | Modest Threat pose-2 MP9 | Modest Threat pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.16
  • 7 days low: $ 0.15
  • 7 days high: $ 8.05
  • 7 days price change: 6.67%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.13
  • 30 days high: $ 8.11
  • 30 days price change: 23.08%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.13
  • 90 days high: $ 8.16
  • Year low: $ 0.071
  • Year high: $ 10
  • All time low: $ 0.071
  • All time high: $ 10
  • All time max offers: 1004
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 40
  • Sales for last 7 days: 285
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1139
  • Sales for last 90 days: 2948
  • All time sales: 9406
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 0.58
  • Volatility: 12.3%
  • Liquidity: 27.49%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.117
  • Price forecast change in a month: -26.62%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.196
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 22.75%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.2
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.15
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.15
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.01
-6.67%
Result
👎 Fail
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.13
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.13
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.01
7.69%
Result
👍 Success
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.138
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.138
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.15
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.012
8.70%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.2
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.15
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.15
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.15
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.138
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.01
-6.67%
Result
👎 Fail
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.13
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.13
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.13
Action
🔥 Buy
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.01
7.69%
Result
👍 Success
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.15
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.15
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.138
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.138
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.15
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.012
8.70%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.012
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.418
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
3
Success count
2
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
64%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
67%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1811
3118
2515
9859
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 857
  • Movement speed: 240
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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120%
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Description

Produced in Switzerland, the MP9 SMG is a state-of-the-art polymer firearm widely embraced by private security organizations. Its sleek appearance boasts a meticulously hand-painted orange and black pattern, ensuring your dominance as the final survivor.

History

History

The StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Battle-Scarred) was added to CS2 on December 6th, 2018, in the Danger Zone Case for the "Welcome to the Danger Zone" update. This gorgeous skin was crafted by the extremely talented community artist "nozza," and quickly became one of the most popular skins in the game because of its very distinctive, grungy appearance.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat Battle-Scarred - is dropped from the Danger Zone Case container, which holds a total variety of different weapon skins. This skin is part of the Danger Zone Collection, a collection of skins that take inspiration in its name from the Danger Zone game mode where everything is dangerous and hazardous.

Popularity

Popularity

The MP9 | Modest Threat (Battle-Scarred) holds a very popular rank and is within the top 15% of the most sold items in CS2. Such an estimation is guided by the volume of sales the skin has every day alongside its market price.

Rarity

Rarity

MP9 | Modest Threat (Battle-Scarred) has a total of 237 SMG skins in CS2. It is at the Mil-Spec Grade and is a rather common drop, with an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

Battle-scarred StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat is very budget-friendly; one can acquire it for just from $0.04 to $0.57, very easy to get since the majority of the markets are overstocked. Currently, there are around 2.6 million units of Modest Threats in CS2's public inventories; hence, very available.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the Battle-Scarred StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat ranges from 0.00 to 0.75, which means this skin is available in all Wear states. A StatTrak version of the Modest Threat MP9 is also available in any exterior quality.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The general sentiment among the community towards the StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Battle-Scarred) in CS2 is extremely good with an average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars with over 3.6K votes on addskins.gg. In addition, its high status is further justified as the skin has been owned by professional CS2 players such as fnx and s1mple.

Finish style

Finish style

The Battle-Scarred StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat features a Gunsmith style that masterfully merges patina with custom paint. The dominant orange tint of the gun gives an added feel of intensity in its general outlook, while pattern indexes do not affect the Modest Threat finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Battle-Scarred) is expected fall down to $ 0.117 (-26.62%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 0.196 (22.75%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.6
Max: 0.75
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players