StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New)

4.8 2757 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.05
+5.32%
Last month
$ 0.08
+8.79%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.72
-27.27%
In a quarter
$ 1.01
+2.02%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
60% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
257 offers on 9 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New)
Gallery
MP9 | Modest Threat inspecting MP9 | Modest Threat reloading MP9 | Modest Threat holding MP9 | Modest Threat pose-1 MP9 | Modest Threat pose-2 MP9 | Modest Threat pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.99
  • 7 days low: $ 0.94
  • 7 days high: $ 1 835
  • 7 days price change: 5.32%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.91
  • 30 days high: $ 1 835
  • 30 days price change: 8.79%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.69
  • 90 days high: $ 1 835
  • Year low: $ 0.69
  • Year high: $ 1 835
  • All time low: $ 0.69
  • All time high: $ 1 835
  • All time max offers: 434
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 22
  • Sales for last 7 days: 187
  • Sales for last 30 days: 829
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1826
  • All time sales: 5943
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: -0.2687
  • Volatility: 12.95%
  • Liquidity: 33.93%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.72
  • Price forecast change in a month: -27.27%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1.01
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 2.02%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1
Action
📉 Sell
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.05
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.86
Action
📉 Sell
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.87
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.91
Action
✋ Hold
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 1.02
Action
❌ Avoid
November 1, 2025
Price
$ 1
Action
📉 Sell
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.05
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.93
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.86
Action
📉 Sell
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.87
Action
📉 Sell
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.85
Action
📉 Sell
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.81
Action
📉 Sell
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.84
Action
📉 Sell
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.87
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.83
Action
❌ Avoid
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.93
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.98
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.99
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.02
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.91
Action
✋ Hold
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 1.02
Action
❌ Avoid
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
60%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1811
3118
2515
9859
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 857
  • Movement speed: 240
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

Crafted in Switzerland, the sleek StatTrak MP9 SMG boasts a futuristic design and is a popular choice among private security contractors for its reliability and compact size. Its Factory New condition showcases a striking orange and black hand-painted finish, making it a standout weapon on the battlefield.

History

History

The MP9 | Modest Threat arrived in CS2 on December 6th, 2018, when the skin was released. This battle-scarred skin had been in high demand and was released in the Danger Zone Case accompanying the update "Welcome to the Danger Zone." Community designer "nozza" was behind creating this realistic and gritty aesthetic.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) was introduced as part of the Danger Zone Case collection in CS2. Players have a chance to obtain this skin by opening the Danger Zone Case container, with the Factory New condition being the highest quality available for this particular skin.

Popularity

Popularity

With a popularity of 75%, the StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat in Factory New condition is considered highly sought after among CS2 players. Its popularity is determined by its rarity, visual appeal, and the demand for StatTrak weapons in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) is one of 253 other SMG skins in CS2. However, its Factory New condition and StatTrak feature make it a relatively rare drop, with an estimated drop chance of around 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

Priced between $0.04 and $1.03, the StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat in Factory New condition offers an affordable option for CS2 players. This skin is readily available across various marketplaces, ensuring easy access for those looking to add it to their collection.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat skin in Factory New condition ranges from 0.00 to 0.07, ensuring a pristine appearance with minimal wear. This variant is highly sought after by collectors and players alike for its sleek design and StatTrak feature, adding value to the weapon in-game.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat in Factory New condition has garnered significant community approval with more than 3,500 votes on addskins, resulting in an impressive average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. This sought-after skin is proudly wielded by renowned professional CS2 players such as niko, azr, and bodyy, further solidifying its popularity among the gaming community.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) features a finish style known as "Modest Threat," giving the weapon a sleek and futuristic appearance. The design incorporates intricate patterns and a metallic sheen, creating a dynamic visual effect that complements the MP9's compact and deadly nature.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 0.72 (-27.27%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 1.01 (2.02%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.75
Max: 0.75
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players