StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Field-Tested)

4.5 3724 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.02
+15.38%
Last month
$ 0.03
+25%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.127
-15.07%
In a quarter
$ 0.183
+22.13%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
39% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
50% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
813 offers on 8 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Field-Tested)
Gallery
MP9 | Modest Threat inspecting MP9 | Modest Threat reloading MP9 | Modest Threat holding MP9 | Modest Threat pose-1 MP9 | Modest Threat pose-2 MP9 | Modest Threat pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.15
  • 7 days low: $ 0.13
  • 7 days high: $ 100
  • 7 days price change: 15.38%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.12
  • 30 days high: $ 100
  • 30 days price change: 25%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.12
  • 90 days high: $ 100
  • Year low: $ 0.1
  • Year high: $ 100
  • All time low: $ 0.1
  • All time high: $ 100
  • All time max offers: 2403
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 113
  • Sales for last 7 days: 840
  • Sales for last 30 days: 3632
  • Sales for last 90 days: 8714
  • All time sales: 28645
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 0.53
  • Volatility: 9.64%
  • Liquidity: 26.94%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.127
  • Price forecast change in a month: -15.07%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.183
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 22.13%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.208
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.17
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.17
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.13
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.04
-23.53%
Result
👎 Fail
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.12
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.13
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.141
Action
✋ Hold
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.149
Action
✋ Hold
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.15
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.12
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.12
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.15
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.03
25.00%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.208
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.17
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.17
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.15
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.13
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.04
-23.53%
Result
👎 Fail
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.12
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.13
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.13
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.15
Action
❌ Avoid
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.141
Action
✋ Hold
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.149
Action
✋ Hold
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.15
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.157
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.12
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.12
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.15
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.03
25.00%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -0.01
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.29
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
1
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
39%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
50%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1811
3118
2515
9859
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 857
  • Movement speed: 240
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The Modest Threat MP9 is a Swiss-made submachine gun that puts advanced technology into a comfortable polymer build, which makes it very sought after by private security firms. The lethal capabilities wrapped in striking orange and black hand paint will make sure you come out on top in this battle.

History

History

The MP9 | Modest Threat made its debut in the world of CS2 on December 6th, 2018, when it was introduced as a new addition to the game's weapon skins. It was included in the Danger Zone Case, which was released alongside the "Welcome to the Danger Zone" update. This particular skin was crafted by the talented community designer known as "nozza."

Origin

Origin

The container of the Danger Zone Case introduced the StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Field-Tested) to the CS2 community, where players can have a chance to pull. This skin belongs to the exclusive Danger Zone Collection and adds a unique look to the MP9 weapon.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Field-Tested) is very popular, with an 85% popularity in CS2 and within the top 15% of the most popular items in the game. This high level of popularity was determined by looking at the number of skins sold each day and the current market value of the skin.

Rarity

Rarity

The MP9 | Modest Threat from StatTrak is one of the 237 other SMG skins in CS2. It is categorized under Mil-Spec Grade and has a very likely drop chance, at about 79.92%, which will make it pretty easy for players to find.

Availability

Availability

The MP9 | Modest Threat (Field-Tested) StatTrak skin is relatively cheap; its price varies from $0.04 up to $0.57. As this is a very saturated skin, there are plenty of them available. It is easy to get found, purchased, and sold at lots of trading sites, online marketplaces, and websites. At the moment, about 2.6 million Modest Threat skins are in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The field-tested MP9 | Modest Threat StatTrak in CS2 features all available exteriors, which range from 0.00 to 0.75 float value. For every exterior variant, there is also a StatTrak version of the Modest Threat skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment with regard to this StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat in CS2 is very great, having an average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars from more than 3.6K votes on addskins.gg. Moreover, its ownership by top pro players like fnx and s1mple adds popularity to it.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat features a "Gunsmith" style finish that blends patina and custom paint techniques. The orange tint dominates on the skin, and for whatever pattern indexes, the skin doesn't alter the finish of the Modest Threat.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Field-Tested) is expected fall down to $ 0.127 (-15.07%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 0.183 (22.13%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.26
Max: 0.75
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players