StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear)

4.5 3672 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ -0.02
-6.25%
Last month
$ 0.05
+20%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.263
-20.24%
In a quarter
$ 0.31
-6.0%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
75% - Forecast accuracy
75% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
302 offers on 8 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
MP9 | Modest Threat inspecting MP9 | Modest Threat reloading MP9 | Modest Threat holding MP9 | Modest Threat pose-1 MP9 | Modest Threat pose-2 MP9 | Modest Threat pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.3
  • 24h price change: -6.25%
  • 7 days low: $ 0.32
  • 7 days high: $ 5.86
  • 7 days price change: -6.25%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.25
  • 30 days high: $ 5.88
  • 30 days price change: 20%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.25
  • 90 days high: $ 5.88
  • Year low: $ 0.22
  • Year high: $ 1 332
  • All time low: $ 0.22
  • All time high: $ 1 332
  • All time max offers: 790
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 65
  • Sales for last 7 days: 417
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1876
  • Sales for last 90 days: 4686
  • All time sales: 14909
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: -0.4233
  • Volatility: 9.03%
  • Liquidity: 36.68%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.263
  • Price forecast change in a month: -20.24%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.31
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -6.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.356
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.329
Action
📉 Sell
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.35
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.356
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.34
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.32
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.272
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.28
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.29
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.29
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.29
Action
❌ Avoid
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.3
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.31
Action
❌ Avoid
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.329
Action
📉 Sell
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.35
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.33
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.39
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.3
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.3
Action
❌ Avoid
October 31, 2025
Price
$ 0.33
Action
❌ Avoid
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
75%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
75%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1811
3118
2515
9859
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 857
  • Movement speed: 240
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

This MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear) was crafted by a famous Swiss manufacturer and is one of the most progressive SMGs, favored by private security organizations for its comfortable polymer build. The striking orange and black hand-painted pattern adds flair to your arsenal, making you stand out in the battlefield to be the last one standing.

History

History

The StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat first showed up in CS2 on December 6th, 2018, when it was added with the Danger Zone Case during the "Welcome to the Danger Zone" update. This catchy skin designed by the talented community artist "nozza" right away got onto players' wish lists for adding a note of class to their armament.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat was added to CS2 via the Danger Zone Case container, where the skin of this sleek and deadly beauty waited for a lucky player to stumble upon it. It is also part of the very exclusive Danger Zone Collection to give any player's loadout an added layer of menace.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear) has a popularity rating of 85%, which is exceptionally well-liked in the CS2 community. For this reason, it's among the top 15% of the most coveted items, as estimated by its daily sales volume and market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear) is one of the 237 SMG skins in CS2. With the Mil-Spec Grade, the skin is quite common as a drop, featuring about a 79.92% probability being dropped.

Availability

Availability

The MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear) is a relatively cheap skin in CS2. Prices vary from $0.04 to $0.57. It's available on many markets, which makes it easy to get for every player. Currently, this skin has about 2.6 million units in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat Minimal Wear exists in all exteriors and has float values from 0.00 to 0.75. Each of the given exteriors has a correspondent StatTrak version, and players can use this skin to show their kills.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Community sentiment is very positive towards the StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear) within CS2, as it holds a rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars on addskins.gg above 3.6K votes. Ownership by respected professional players like fnx and s1mple attests to the level of desire and, in turn, popularity this particular skin has within the CS2 community.

Finish style

Finish style

This Minimal Wear StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat sports, in a nice patina with custom paint, a finish inspired by Gunsmith-a striking look. The base color has an orange tint that is very appealing and common to all pattern indexes, somehow making this sleek weapon skin even more unique.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 0.263 (-20.24%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.31 (-6.0%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.75
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players