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2 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The MP9 SMG is a slick, polymer firearm manufactured with Swiss precision and hotly pursued by private security firms. The bold orange and black hand-painted pattern adds to the intimidation factor in your arsenal, making sure you come out on top in a firefight.
The MP9 | Modest Threat arrived in CS2 on December 6th, 2018, when the skin was released. This battle-scarred skin had been in high demand and was released in the Danger Zone Case accompanying the update "Welcome to the Danger Zone." Community designer "nozza" was behind creating this realistic and gritty aesthetic.
The StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Well-Worn) was introduced to Counter-Strike: Global Offensive by means of the Danger Zone Case, and to get it, a player had to open a case. A skin from the Danger Zone Collection, the Modest Threat is a high-risk, hazardous landscape inspired by the Danger Zone game mode.
The StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Well-Worn) has an extremely high popularity rating of 85% and is considered one of the highly sought-after skins in the CS2 community. For that reason, it falls into the top 15% of the most popular items in this game, determined by the consistent volume of sales on a daily basis and its very desirable market price.
The StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Well-Worn) is just one of the 237 other SMG skins available in CS2. With a rarity of Mil-Spec Grade, this skin is quite common and has an estimated drop chance of 79.92%, making it a relatively easy find for players.
The float value of the Well-Worn version of the StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat is from 0.38 to 0.45, so it has a worn-out look with visible scratches and scuffs. This version is available in all interiors, allowing players to track their kills with this skin in various conditions.
The community sentiment for the StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Well-Worn) of CS2 is very positive, with a large number of votes and a 4.5 out of 5-star rating average on addskins.gg. Moreover, its popularity is further boosted by the fact that two of the most well-known professional players, fnx and s1mple, own it, thus making it desirable in the CS2 community.
This well-worn StatTrak MP9 features a "Gunsmith" finish with the Modest Threat style, which uses a combination of patina and custom paint to create an incredibly unique look. The most distinctive color of this skin is orange tint. The pattern indexes do not affect the Modest Threat finish.
According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak MP9 | Modest Threat (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 0.26 (-13.5%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 0.347 (15.8%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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