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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the StatTrak Negev | Ultralight (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The StatTrak Negev | Ultralight (Well-Worn) is one of the best weapons for laying down a withering field of suppressive fire to keep the enemy at arm's length, as long as one can tame its unwieldy nature. Sleek and menacing in its design, it has been given a custom gray digital camo pattern adorned with vibrant teal arrows to add style to its firepower.
The StatTrak Negev | Ultralight (Well-Worn) first showed itself in the CS2 arsenal on August 6th, 2020, with the release of the Fracture Case. Inspired by the concept of a very talented community artist named Hoxton, this skin immediately got praised for its modern and space-style look and thereby became popular among owners.
The StatTrak Negev | Ultralight (Well-Worn) was presented to the community upon opening the container Fracture Case, where players who got lucky could pull it. This skin is among the beloved pieces in The Fracture Collection due to its unusual design and wear pattern.
The StatTrak Negev | Ultralight (Well-Worn) is hunted by the CS2 community due to its incredible popularity rating of 85%. This means it is in the top 15% of the most wanted skins in the game, considering daily sales volume and price on the market.
The StatTrak Negev | Ultralight (Well-Worn) is included in the 43 other Machinegun skins in CS2. It features a Mil-Spec Grade rarity and is relatively easy to obtain because it has an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.
It's considered cheap, hence affordable for players, since the price range of StatTrak Negev | Ultralight (Well-Worn) for CS2 skins is between $0.03-$0.46. Besides, this skin is easy to get since it is widely available in various markets, and there is a total of 2.7 million units of the skin currently floating in the public inventories of CS2.
The Well-Worn variation of the StatTrak Negev | Ultralight features a float value between 0.00 and 0.79, so players can acquire this skin in any outer condition. Moreover, for every available outer option, the skin has the StatTrak feature, which allows one to track kills made with the Ultralight.
The general feeling in the community with regards to the StatTrak Negev | Ultralight (Well-Worn) for CS2 is really high at an average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars, over 2.5K votes on addskins.gg, while its popularity is further reflected by the ownership of top professional players like flusha, fnx, and s1mple.
Skin "The StatTrak Negev | Ultralight(Well-Worn)" in CS2 has the "Custom Paint Job" style. It allows a wide range of color options. Still, this particular skin is filled with several shades of black, giving it a really sleek and sneaky look. The Ultralight skin doesn't change depending on the pattern index, so it looks just as nice everywhere.
According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak Negev | Ultralight (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 0.071 (-41.0%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.093 (-22.33%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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