StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)

3.8 2058 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 134
+22.22%
Last month
$ 137
+22.83%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 699
-5.48%
In a quarter
$ 650
-12.11%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
58% - Forecast accuracy
58% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
3 offers on 3 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Skinport
Skinport
1 offers
from $ 737
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 978
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
1 offers
from $ 2 141
Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 737
  • 7 days low: $ 603
  • 7 days high: $ 2 149
  • 7 days price change: 22.22%
  • 30 days low: $ 600
  • 30 days high: $ 2 149
  • 30 days price change: 22.83%
  • 90 days low: $ 600
  • 90 days high: $ 2 149
  • Year low: $ 598
  • Year high: $ 3 000
  • All time low: $ 598
  • All time high: $ 3 000
  • All time max offers: 30
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 0
  • Sales for last 90 days: 0
  • All time sales: 0
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: -0.3278
  • Volatility: 12.44%
  • Liquidity: 0.0%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 699
  • Price forecast change in a month: -5.48%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 650
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -12.11%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1 011
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 864
Action
📉 Sell
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 714
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 881
Action
📉 Sell
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 892
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 789
Action
✋ Hold
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 800
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 1 011
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 932
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 864
Action
📉 Sell
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 714
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 718
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 730
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 729
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 732
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 881
Action
📉 Sell
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 892
Action
📉 Sell
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 892
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 883
Action
❌ Avoid
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 789
Action
✋ Hold
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 800
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 606
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 737
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
58%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
58%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened appeared in CS2 on November 18th, 2019, when the game needed it so much with its Fracture Case release. This beauty of a knife, with blue patterns on the blade, started to be in the hot demand of collectors and players who wanted to add it to their virtual armories.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is one of the rarest and most wanted skins in CS2. It is only able to be opened from Fracture Case or Shattered Web Case. Equipped with unique blue-gold patterns, this is a very special and costly thing in this game and makes it highly desirable to collectors and players alike.

Popularity

Popularity

CS2-StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New), has a very high demand, with the popularity at 90%. The reasons for this high current popularity are simply its excellent rarity and good design. Thus, collectors and players alike want it so badly. The above popularity measurement considers the real volume of skin sales and also the current price, thereby confirming that it is among the highest demand skins in CS2.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened is one of just 391 unique skins created for knives in CS2 and holds a rare drop chance of an extremely low 0.26%, being part of the Covert rarity class.

Availability

Availability

The CS2 StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) costs quite a lot. Its price bracket is rather wide, $234.40-$693.51, so it's pretty expensive. Currently, it is in stock on several markets and has about 4.7K units of this Case Hardened variation publicly available in CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value for StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is between 0.00-1.00, which allows this specific skin to have all possible interiors. For every exterior variant of the Case Hardened skin, there's also a StatTrak version that adds a tracker to the popular skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened Factory New in CS2 is mixed. With a rating of 3.8/5 stars based on over 1.9K votes on addskins.gg, the popularity for this skin is high in professional circles, as seen being used by the likes of m0nesy, kscerato, and cerq. This means it is of actual value and a skin highly pursued by gamers competitively.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife features an incredible "Patina" style, with a Case Hardened finish, where the look of real life case hardening creates a non-reactive, hardened shell over the metallic parts. The beauty in the visual of the Case Hardened finish is underlined by its unique pattern index, making each of these knives a very particular and catching sight in the universe of CS2.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 699 (-5.48%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 650 (-12.11%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class