StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)

3.8 2060 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 26
+11.71%
Last month
$ 103
+71.03%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 305
+21.87%
In a quarter
$ 170
-32.07%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
84% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
35 offers on 9 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
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Active offers
Price
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Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)
Gallery
★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 248
  • 7 days low: $ 222
  • 7 days high: $ 2 049
  • 7 days price change: 11.71%
  • 30 days low: $ 145
  • 30 days high: $ 2 065
  • 30 days price change: 71.03%
  • 90 days low: $ 145
  • 90 days high: $ 2 075
  • Year low: $ 145
  • Year high: $ 341 863
  • All time low: $ 145
  • All time high: $ 341 863
  • All time max offers: 67
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 2
  • Sales for last 7 days: 11
  • Sales for last 30 days: 34
  • Sales for last 90 days: 48
  • All time sales: 96
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: -0.1739
  • Volatility: 19.24%
  • Liquidity: 11.31%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 305
  • Price forecast change in a month: 21.87%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 170
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -32.07%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 345
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 324
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 298
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 147
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 147
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 222
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 75.54
51.51%
Result
👍 Success
November 2, 2025
Price
$ 345
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 314
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 317
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 310
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 302
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 364
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 324
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 306
Action
✋ Hold
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 318
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 312
Action
✋ Hold
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 308
Action
✋ Hold
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 298
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 309
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 309
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 147
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 147
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 222
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 75.54
51.51%
Result
👍 Success
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 75.54
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 147
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
84%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened was introduced to the Counter-Strike: Global Offensive community on November 18th, 2019, when it was added to the Fracture Case as part of the "Operation Shattered Web" update. Due to its unique and visually striking Case Hardened pattern, this knife quickly became one of the most desired possessions in both collector and player inventories, adding prestige to any loadout.

Origin

Origin

This skin is one of the rarest and most wanted in CS2 games, and the StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) boasts that unique blue pattern on its blade. It can be only obtained by opening only a limited number of the Fracture Case or Shattered Web Case-container, making it one desirable item for collectors and avid players alike.

Popularity

Popularity

This makes the StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) very popular among the CS2 community, with a rating of 90%, which surely places it as one of the most popular skins in the game. This demand is more than confirmed by the great sales volume and high value that this skin has in the real market.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) is a skin from 391 knife skins that exist in CS2. This Case Hardened version has a Covert rarity classification, hence being an extremely rare drop with the probability of only 0.26% to be dropped.

Availability

Availability

The CS2 skin StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) is available for $234.40-$693.51. For such an expensive skin, it was highly available on different markets and is currently available to about 4.7K units in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

For starters, the StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) was featured in all skins. Float values range from 0.00 to 1.00, allowing collectors and players to add a touch of personal taste to their knife by offering a StatTrak skin in any desired exterior on the Case Hardened type.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) in CS2 is generally positive, with an average rating of 3.8 out of 5 stars, with over 1.9K votes on addskins.gg. Moreover, it is popular among professional players like m0nesy, kscerato, and cerq, who currently own this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife has a hypnotizing "Case Hardened" finish, with a singular pattern index that will affect the distribution of vibrant blue and purple hues across the surface. The patina effect on this knife makes it very realistic and really gives off an aged feeling, much like how it works in real life for case-hardening on metallic parts.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) is expected grow to $ 305 (21.87%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 170 (-32.07%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.26
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class