StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)

3.8 2091 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 65
+24.71%
Last month
$ 154
+88.51%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 382
+15.74%
In a quarter
$ 212
-35.77%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
100% - Forecast accuracy
100% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
28 offers on 9 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
2 offers
from $ 328
White.Market
White.Market
4 offers
from $ 337
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
4 offers
from $ 340
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
3 offers
from $ 340
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
4 offers
from $ 340
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
3 offers
from $ 351
Steam
Steam
4 offers
from $ 518
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
2 offers
from $ 567
Skinport
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2 offers
from $ 4 450
Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 328
  • 7 days low: $ 263
  • 7 days high: $ 5 840
  • 7 days price change: 24.71%
  • 30 days low: $ 174
  • 30 days high: $ 5 879
  • 30 days price change: 88.51%
  • 90 days low: $ 174
  • 90 days high: $ 5 879
  • Year low: $ 174
  • Year high: $ 130 234
  • All time low: $ 174
  • All time high: $ 130 234
  • All time max offers: 61
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 5
  • Sales for last 30 days: 20
  • Sales for last 90 days: 29
  • All time sales: 55
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: -0.86
  • Volatility: 10.3%
  • Liquidity: 10.88%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 382
  • Price forecast change in a month: 15.74%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 212
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -35.77%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 415
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 397
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 402
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 395
Action
✋ Hold
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 414
Action
❌ Avoid
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 199
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 199
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 327
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 128
64.25%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 415
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 431
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 397
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 402
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 400
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 397
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 376
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 400
Action
❌ Avoid
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 400
Action
❌ Avoid
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 395
Action
✋ Hold
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 414
Action
❌ Avoid
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 423
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 405
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 384
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 199
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 199
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 327
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 128
64.25%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 128
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 199
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
100%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
100%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) first appeared in the CS2 community on November 18th, 2019, when it was introduced as a new knife skin in the Fracture Case. This highly popular knife quickly gained popularity due to its unique Case Hardened pattern and the inclusion of the StatTrak feature that allows players to track their kills with the weapon.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) can be obtained through opening a container either from the Fracture Case or Shattered Web Case in the game Counter-Strike: Global Offensive. This skin belongs to no collection, which makes it a rather unique and singular part of the cosmetic inventory in this game.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) has an extremely high popularity rating in the CS2 community, rated at 90%. The reason it is so wanted is its beautiful Case Hardened pattern, combined with the added allure of StatTrak, which makes it one of the most wanted items in the game. This assessment is determined by considering both its daily sales volume and its market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) is one of the more popular skins from the 391 knife skins that exist in CS2. The rarity of this skin is Covert, making the Case Hardened version super rare with only a supposed chance of 0.26% to obtain it.

Availability

Availability

Prices to buy a StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened Minimal Wear in CS2 range from $234.40 to $693.51, which seems really expensive. This pattern occurs in several markets; for this reason, obtaining the skin is very, very easy. Currently, in total, there are 4.7K units of this Case Hardened version available in public inventories.

Versions

Versions

The StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened Minimal Wear in CS2 shares all the cases, and the float value ranges from 0.00 to 1.00, thus allowing gamers to show a unique pattern of blue and in-game condition. What's more, for every skin version, there is its StatTrak version that also can be added to be more relevant for collectors.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) for CS2 is mixed, as the average rating is 3.8 out of 5 stars, considering more than 1.9K votes on addskins.gg. Moreover, this skin has joined the popularity among professional players of CS2, namely m0nesy, kscerato, and cerq, who currently have it.

Finish style

Finish style

This well-crafted StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened has a "Patina" style finish, presenting intricately developed patterns from case hardening, cold bluing, and acid forced patinas. The pattern index to a large extent determines how the final appearance of the Case Hardened finish looks and makes it really interesting.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 382 (15.74%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 212 (-35.77%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.11
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class