StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)

3.8 1957 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 42
+20.69%
Last month
$ 123
+101%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 298
+12.33%
In a quarter
$ 172
-35.16%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
100% - Forecast accuracy
100% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
16 offers on 8 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
2 offers
from $ 245
Lis-skins
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2 offers
from $ 263
White.Market
White.Market
2 offers
from $ 280
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 282
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 306
Steam
Steam
5 offers
from $ 311
Bitskins
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1 offers
from $ 424
Skinport
Skinport
2 offers
from $ 586
Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)
Gallery
★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 245
  • 7 days low: $ 203
  • 7 days high: $ 843
  • 7 days price change: 20.69%
  • 30 days low: $ 122
  • 30 days high: $ 850
  • 30 days price change: 101%
  • 90 days low: $ 122
  • 90 days high: $ 854
  • Year low: $ 122
  • Year high: $ 53 687
  • All time low: $ 122
  • All time high: $ 53 687
  • All time max offers: 62
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 3
  • Sales for last 30 days: 21
  • Sales for last 90 days: 33
  • All time sales: 65
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: -0.85
  • Volatility: 11.19%
  • Liquidity: 9.78%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 298
  • Price forecast change in a month: 12.33%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 172
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -35.16%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 297
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 289
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 303
Action
✋ Hold
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 304
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 198
Action
✋ Hold
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 267
Action
❌ Avoid
November 6, 2025
Price
$ 297
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 289
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 285
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 291
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 291
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 282
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 282
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 303
Action
✋ Hold
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 299
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 302
Action
✋ Hold
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 304
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 291
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 285
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 281
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 198
Action
✋ Hold
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 267
Action
❌ Avoid
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
100%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
100%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) was added to CS2 on November 18th, 2019, as part of the Fracture Case during the "Operation Shattered Web" update. Due to its unique Case Hardened pattern and StatTrak feature, it immediately became one of the most popular items among collectors and active players.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened can be obtained by unboxing the Fracture Case or Shattered Web Case containers, which gives players an opportunity to get this rare and highly sought-after skin. This knife is different from the others since it has a Case Hardened pattern, featuring blue and gold colors.

Popularity

Popularity

The most sought-after is StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened, which is well-worn and rated at 90% for its popularity. Due to being quite rare and a one-of-a-kind pattern, the skin is in extreme demand by CS2 players. That it has great volume every day and was being sold at a high price sets this knife as one of the top skins in-game.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is one of 391 other Knife skins existing in CS2. This Case Hardened version is very rare as an actual drop due to its Covert rarity and features a very small drop chance, at just 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

This is a high-end skin because the price of Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife floats within the range of $234.40-$693.51, which is considered quite expensive. Right now, it's available on several markets and can easily be purchased by anyone interested in buying. Additionally, there are approximately 4.7K units of the Case Hardened type in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value for StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened is from 0.38 to 0.45, which is a rather well-worn knife appearance with more scratched features than others and with a partially faded pattern. This variation is available for all other exterior skins; for collector's sake, each exterior even has a StatTrak version, increasing the uniqueness and tracking level of this popular knife skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment of the StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) for CS2 is above average, with a rating of 3.8 out of 5 stars, based on more than 1.9K votes on addskins.gg. Yet, it speaks volumes in favor of such a skin within the competitive CS2 scene to see that professional players such as m0nesy, kscerato, and cerq are playing it.

Finish style

Finish style

This well-worn Case Hardened finish on the StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife has a beautiful patina developed from use. The pattern index highly influences the appearance of the finish, creating a unique and intricate blend of blues, purples, and golds across the blade and handle.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 298 (12.33%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 172 (-35.16%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.41
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class