StatTrak Nova | Graphite (Factory New)

4.7 10755 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.59
+7.35%
Last month
$ 2.03
+9.58%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 26.08
+12.03%
In a quarter
$ 20.87
-10.35%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
34% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
109 offers on 10 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Skinport
Skinport
13 offers
from $ 23.21
White.Market
White.Market
11 offers
from $ 23.49
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
10 offers
from $ 25.39
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
12 offers
from $ 26.14
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
5 offers
from $ 26.36
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
5 offers
from $ 28.74
Steam
Steam
33 offers
from $ 28.93
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
13 offers
from $ 29.36
Bitskins
Bitskins
1 offers
from $ 35.11
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
6 offers
from $ 42.85
Inspect skin
StatTrak Nova | Graphite (Factory New)
Gallery
Nova | Graphite inspecting Nova | Graphite reloading Nova | Graphite holding Nova | Graphite pose-1 Nova | Graphite pose-2 Nova | Graphite pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 23.21
  • 7 days low: $ 21.62
  • 7 days high: $ 152
  • 7 days price change: 7.35%
  • 30 days low: $ 21.18
  • 30 days high: $ 152
  • 30 days price change: 9.58%
  • 90 days low: $ 21.18
  • 90 days high: $ 356
  • Year low: $ 21.18
  • Year high: $ 896
  • All time low: $ 21.18
  • All time high: $ 896
  • All time max offers: 180
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 3
  • Sales for last 7 days: 25
  • Sales for last 30 days: 88
  • Sales for last 90 days: 203
  • All time sales: 540
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: -0.3408
  • Volatility: 13.68%
  • Liquidity: 24.41%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 26.08
  • Price forecast change in a month: 12.03%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 20.87
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -10.35%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak Nova | Graphite (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 32.41
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 31.83
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 32.17
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 25.72
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 27.16
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 32.41
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 31.83
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 32.17
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 26.48
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 26.49
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 25.71
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 25.72
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 25.89
Action
✋ Hold
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 27.16
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 26.57
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 28.81
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 25.46
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 26.88
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 27.98
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 23.65
Action
❌ Avoid
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 25.1
Action
❌ Avoid
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
34%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
178
2814
2311
9045
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 8/32
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 40.0
  • Rate of fire: 68
  • Movement speed: 220
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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46%
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141 offers on 8 markets
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Well-Worn
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16 offers on 8 markets

Description

The StatTrak Nova | Graphite (Factory New) is an inexpensive option for teams with a very tight budget. This is an ambush weapon that gets the job done. This was custom painted with a polygon pattern, using metallic paints of various reflectivities over a chrome base coat.

History

History

This is the date when StatTrak Nova Graphite (Factory New) first entered the virtual world of CS2, which happened on November 8th, 2013, when this skin was released in the CS2 Weapon Case 2. Its sleek and stylish design quickly made it a hit among players, making it a sought-after skin in the community.

Origin

Origin

The Nova StatTrak Graphite is a rare skin for the Nova shotgun; it sports a sleek graphite finish. This weapon is obtained through an opened container of CS2 Weapon Case 2 or can be part of The Arms Deal 2 Collection-a specific collection in CS2 which allows players an opportunity to obtain this stylish weapon into their inventory.

Popularity

Popularity

Because it has been in the top 15% of all Skins in CS2 for popularity, a StatTrak Nova | Graphite is not in short demand. The popularity ranges on either side depending on both its actual sales volume per day and real price. This skin is also desirable and pursued.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak Nova | Graphite (Factory New) is a CS2 skin that is one of 134 shotgun skins in the game. This skin is classified as Restricted and is very rare, with an estimated drop chance of 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The Skin of StatTrak Nova | Graphite (Factory New) for CS2 is relatively cheap, and its price is at the interval of $8.53-$17.32. This skin is easily available to be bought on many markets. Moreover, there are already 28.6K units of Graphite skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value for the StatTrak Nova | Graphite in CS2 ranges from 0.00 to 0.12, allowing players to get the skin in Factory New or Minimal Wear conditions. Additionally, in every exterior, a player can find a StatTrak version for the Graphite.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Overall, the community sentiment of the StatTrak Nova | Graphite (Factory New) in CS2 is an astonishingly positive one, as over 10.7K votes on addskins.gg gained an impressive average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars. This is further reinforced by popularity among professional CS2 players like daps, n0thing, and krystal, who have all chosen to own this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

This StatTrak Nova sports a Graphite Finish that is very gray, from the general appearances. The pattern index making up this finish adds depth and change to the color gray to make it nice-looking and realistic in a graphite perspective.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak Nova | Graphite (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 26.08 (12.03%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 20.87 (-10.35%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.12
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.