StatTrak Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New)

4.5 7455 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.01
+0.0801%
Last month
$ 0.01
+0.0801%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 12.63
-4.46%
In a quarter
$ 16.28
+23.15%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
75% - Forecast accuracy
75% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
119 offers on 10 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Bitskins
Bitskins
6 offers
from $ 12.49
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
6 offers
from $ 13.12
Skinport
Skinport
15 offers
from $ 13.26
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
6 offers
from $ 13.41
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
7 offers
from $ 13.42
White.Market
White.Market
17 offers
from $ 13.43
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
13 offers
from $ 13.92
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
10 offers
from $ 14.83
Steam
Steam
34 offers
from $ 15.65
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
5 offers
from $ 21.13
Inspect skin
StatTrak Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New)
Gallery
Nova | Rising Skull inspecting Nova | Rising Skull reloading Nova | Rising Skull holding Nova | Rising Skull pose-1 Nova | Rising Skull pose-2 Nova | Rising Skull pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 12.49
  • 24h price change: -2.35%
  • 7 days low: $ 12.48
  • 7 days high: $ 93.57
  • 7 days price change: 0.0801%
  • 30 days low: $ 12.48
  • 30 days high: $ 94.27
  • 30 days price change: 0.0801%
  • 90 days low: $ 11.96
  • 90 days high: $ 94.75
  • Year low: $ 11.96
  • Year high: $ 2 686
  • All time low: $ 11.96
  • All time high: $ 2 686
  • All time max offers: 132
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 3
  • Sales for last 7 days: 24
  • Sales for last 30 days: 76
  • Sales for last 90 days: 197
  • All time sales: 518
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.3809
  • Volatility: 17.42%
  • Liquidity: 17.08%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 12.63
  • Price forecast change in a month: -4.46%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 16.28
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 23.15%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 14.04
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 13.56
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 12.66
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 12.61
Action
✋ Hold
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 14.16
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 14.89
Action
✋ Hold
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 14.89
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 14.04
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 14.92
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 16.12
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 13.09
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 13.56
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 12.66
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 12.58
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 12.61
Action
✋ Hold
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 14.24
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 14.89
Action
✋ Hold
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 14.81
Action
✋ Hold
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 14.16
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 14.89
Action
✋ Hold
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 14.89
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 14.05
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 13.22
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
75%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
75%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
178
2814
2311
9045
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 8/32
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 40.0
  • Rate of fire: 68
  • Movement speed: 220
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 0.82
46%
From last month
144 offers on 7 markets
4.7 2753
Nova | Baroque Orange
Restricted
Normal
Nova
Baroque Orange
4.7 2670
In a year 57%
Nova | Baroque Orange
Restricted
Normal
Nova
Baroque Orange
Factory New
4.7 2610
In a year 59%
Nova | Baroque Orange
Restricted
Normal
Nova
Baroque Orange
Field-Tested
$ 96.03 $ 1 873
5 offers on 2 markets
4.7 2623
In a year 90%
Nova | Baroque Orange
Restricted
Normal
Nova
Baroque Orange
Minimal Wear
4.7 2632
In a year 226%
Nova | Baroque Orange
Restricted
Normal
Nova
Baroque Orange
Well-Worn
4.5 7621
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Nova
Blaze Orange
4.5 7798
In a year 120%
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Nova
Blaze Orange
Battle-Scarred
$ 14.36
38%
From last week
12 offers on 6 markets
4.5 7740
In a year 135%
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Nova
Blaze Orange
Factory New
4.5 7714
In a year 126%
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Nova
Blaze Orange
Field-Tested
$ 13.37 $ 52.56
31 offers on 8 markets
4.5 7739
In a year 98%
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Nova
Blaze Orange
Minimal Wear
4.5 7651
In a year 74%
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Nova
Blaze Orange
Well-Worn
$ 18.66 $ 35.54
14 offers on 8 markets

Description

The Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) is a pretty cheap shotgun that will be a great addition to any team on a tight budget, which can pull off surprise attacks. The menacing look is complemented with a hand-drawn matte skull using oil-based paint markers, leaving little doubt about its deadly intentions. Seriously, though, Mr. Izaki, your collection of shotguns is growing at an incredible rate-Imogen and The Oni, Part 1.

History

History

The StatTrak Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) was presented to the CS2 community on December 18th, 2013, and had been in Winter Offensive Weapon Case during the "Winter Offensive" update. The haunting design was made by a very talented community designer "UFOsAreReal," and since this skin has very unique and eerie looks, it has swiftly become one of the most wanted skins in this game.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak Nova | Rising Skull Factory New is the rarest skin that players can pull out by opening a Winter Offensive Weapon Case container. This skin belongs exclusively to The Winter Offensive Collection, adding style and flair to any player's loadout.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) is a CS2 skin that sees very high demand from the community, with an 85% popularity. This means it is within the top 15% of all skins concerning demand, derived from its volume of sales within a day and its selling price.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Skull Factory New is one of 134 other Shotgun skins existing in CS2. This skin is part of the Restricted rarity category, making it relatively rare; the drop chance is approximately 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The most affordable is StatTrak Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) for the price starting at $4.13 - $12.88, which makes this skin quite available even for many players. Besides, it's pretty widely available in all markets, which lets interested buyers get and purchase it without issues. A sort of proof of popularity: now there're already 51.9K units of Rising Skull skin in open CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the Nova | Rising Skull in Factory New condition ranges from 0.00 to 0.50, which means this skin is available in all exteriors, from pristine to slightly worn. Furthermore, for each exterior variation, there is also a StatTrak version of the Rising Skull skin, so players can track their kills with style.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Community Sentiment: The community sentiment of the StatTrak Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) for CS2 is positive, over 7.4K votes on addskins.gg and an average rating of 4.5 of 5 possible stars. Furthermore, this particular skin is even used by fallen, snax, xyp9x, and more professional CS2 gamers.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak Nova | Rising Skull has a Custom Paint Job style that allows for an extremely wide variety of bright colors. This skin has a sleek white tint as its base color, while the Rising Skull finish remains identical across all pattern indexes.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 12.63 (-4.46%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 16.28 (23.15%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players