StatTrak Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn)

4.5 7452 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.17
+12.66%
Last month
$ 1.84
+21.47%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 11.18
+6.17%
In a quarter
$ 11.6
+10.16%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
40% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
34 offers on 7 markets
Updated7 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Steam
Steam
4 offers
from $ 10.41
White.Market
White.Market
5 offers
from $ 10.53
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
7 offers
from $ 11.65
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
9 offers
from $ 11.98
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
3 offers
from $ 11.98
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
3 offers
from $ 11.99
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
3 offers
from $ 12.3
Inspect skin
StatTrak Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn)
Gallery
Nova | Rising Skull inspecting Nova | Rising Skull reloading Nova | Rising Skull holding Nova | Rising Skull pose-1 Nova | Rising Skull pose-2 Nova | Rising Skull pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 10.41
  • 7 days low: $ 9.24
  • 7 days high: $ 22.4
  • 7 days price change: 12.66%
  • 30 days low: $ 8.57
  • 30 days high: $ 34.87
  • 30 days price change: 21.47%
  • 90 days low: $ 8.57
  • 90 days high: $ 44.8
  • Year low: $ 8.57
  • Year high: $ 200
  • All time low: $ 8.57
  • All time high: $ 200
  • All time max offers: 52
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 11
  • Sales for last 30 days: 25
  • Sales for last 90 days: 85
  • All time sales: 228
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 0.75
  • Volatility: 13.06%
  • Liquidity: 16.68%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 11.18
  • Price forecast change in a month: 6.17%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 11.6
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 10.16%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 12.25
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 12.53
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 11.59
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 11.59
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 10.54
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 12.23
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 11.24
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 12.08
Action
✋ Hold
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 10.83
Action
❌ Avoid
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 15.62
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 15.62
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 12.25
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 11.6
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 12.53
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 11.59
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 11.59
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 10.54
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 12.23
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 11.24
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 11.55
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 11.42
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 10.75
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 10.43
Action
❌ Avoid
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 9.83
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 12.08
Action
✋ Hold
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 10.83
Action
❌ Avoid
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 15.62
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 15.62
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 15.62
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
40%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
178
2814
2311
9045
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 8/32
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 40.0
  • Rate of fire: 68
  • Movement speed: 220
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

This well-worn StatTrak Nova | Rising Skull is a more affordable option for teams on a tight budget-a timely and deadly surprise to anyone who happens to be in the way. The well-worn skin has a hand-painted skull design in matte paints and an oil-based paint marker, giving it a somewhat personalized touch. It seems Mr. Izaki keeps a few too many shotguns in his arsenal, if Imogen and The Oni are to be believed in a hilarious way.

History

History

The StatTrak Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn) first descended into the virtual battlefield of CS2 almost a decade ago, on December 18th, 2013. This hauntingly mesmerizing skin was let loose into the community along with the Winter Offensive Weapon Case, a chilling addition accompanying the bone-chilling "Winter Offensive" update, and designed by the remarkably talented community designer known as "UFOsAreReal".

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak Nova had risen to become a part of the extremely rare drops in the Winter Offensive Weapon Case, thus being one of the most highly desired skins for collectors and players alike. The skin shares a very unique design from The Winter Offensive Collection and gives off a slight feel of creepy aesthetics in the game.

Popularity

Popularity

The Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn) StatTrak is one of the most popular skins within the CS2 community, having a popularity rating of 85%. For this reason, it falls into the top 15% of the most desired items in this game, and its desirability is predetermined by its volume of sales on a day-to-day basis and its market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn) is one of 134 other skins for shotguns that exist in CS2. This skin belongs to the Restricted rarity class, which makes it pretty rare; the drop chance estimate is 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The price of the StatTrak Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn) for CS2 fluctuates from $4.13 to $12.88, which is a relatively cheap price for the skin. Because this skin is present in many markets, it is pretty easy to add it to your collection. This skin also happens to be rather common, since there are already 51.9K units already present in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The CS2 Nova | Rising Skull skin features a float value from 0.00 to 0.50, ensuring the skin's availability in all possible exteriors and even offering a StatTrak version for each of these options. Be it well-worn or just tracked, the Rising Skull is ready to speak volumes in any fight.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

On this front, one can infer quite a considerable good community feeling: the stat for a stattrak of a Nova skin like Rising Skull goes at 4.5-star with a vote for more than 7.4 K users over the addskins site; well-popular by its ownership with highly-known pros like Fallen, Snax, and xyp9x.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn) in CS2 features a Custom paint job style with many colors, though the dominant tint of the skin is white. For the Rising Skull finish, its style is identical across different pattern indexes, though it looks strikingly unique.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 11.18 (6.17%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 11.6 (10.16%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

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