StatTrak Nova | Rising Sun (Well-Worn)

4.8 109 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.01
+1.59%
Last month
$ 0.24
+60%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.467
-25.92%
In a quarter
$ 0.56
-11.11%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
89% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
465 offers on 9 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Lis-skins
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CSGO.COM
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82 offers
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CSGOEmpire
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Inspect skin
StatTrak Nova | Rising Sun (Well-Worn)
Gallery
Nova | Rising Sun inspecting Nova | Rising Sun reloading Nova | Rising Sun holding Nova | Rising Sun pose-1 Nova | Rising Sun pose-2 Nova | Rising Sun pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.64
  • 24h price change: 1.59%
  • 7 days low: $ 0.63
  • 7 days high: $ 32.21
  • 7 days price change: 1.59%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.4
  • 30 days high: $ 32.47
  • 30 days price change: 60%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.02
  • 90 days high: $ 32.47
  • Year low: $ 0.02
  • Year high: $ 164
  • All time low: $ 0.02
  • All time high: $ 164
  • All time max offers: 1192
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 91
  • Sales for last 7 days: 595
  • Sales for last 30 days: 2468
  • Sales for last 90 days: 6414
  • All time sales: 17000
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: -0.1812
  • Volatility: 29.58%
  • Liquidity: 42.58%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.467
  • Price forecast change in a month: -25.92%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.56
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -11.11%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak Nova | Rising Sun (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.7
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.5
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.55
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.58
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.02
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.54
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.52
2600.00%
Result
👍 Success
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 0.53
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 0.56
Action
✋ Hold
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 0.42
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.7
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.7
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.7
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.5
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.55
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.58
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.02
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.54
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.52
2600.00%
Result
👍 Success
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 0.53
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 0.54
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 0.56
Action
✋ Hold
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 0.42
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.4
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.53
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.55
Action
❌ Avoid
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 0.55
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.56
Action
❌ Avoid
October 31, 2025
Price
$ 0.62
Action
❌ Avoid
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.52
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.02
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
18
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 18 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
89%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
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Description

The StatTrak Nova | Rising Sun (Well-Worn) offers budget-conscious players a reliable ambush tool with its affordable cost. Its custom stained glass Japanese motif paint job, designed by the Arms Dealer In Training Imogen, shines brilliantly under sunlight, making it a striking addition to any arsenal.

History

History

The Nova | Rising Sun skin made its debut in CS2 on March 31st, 2025, when it was introduced as part of the Fever Case update. Designed by the community artist "Mia", this skin quickly gained popularity for its intricate Rising Sun motif and was well-received by players.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak Nova | Rising Sun (Well-Worn) can be acquired by opening a Fever Case container in CS2. This skin is a part of the Fever Collection, known for its vibrant and eye-catching designs.

Popularity

Popularity

With a popularity of 80%, the StatTrak Nova | Rising Sun in Well-Worn condition is highly sought after by players in CS2, indicating its strong demand and appeal in the community. This popularity measurement is derived from its consistent trading activity and stable market value.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak Nova | Rising Sun (Well-Worn) is one of 155 other StatTrak Nova skins available in Counter-Strike: Global Offensive. With a rarity classification of Restricted, this particular skin is considered relatively uncommon, with an estimated drop chance of 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

Priced between $0.26 and $6.53, the StatTrak Nova | Rising Sun in Well-Worn condition offers an affordable option for CS:GO players. This skin is readily accessible and can be found on various marketplaces, ensuring easy availability for those interested in acquiring it.

Versions

Versions

The StatTrak Nova | Rising Sun (Well-Worn) in CS2 has a float value between 0.38 to 0.45, giving it a distinct battle-worn appearance. This version of the skin is available in all exteriors, with StatTrak tracking kills on each variant.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The StatTrak Nova | Rising Sun (Well-Worn) has garnered significant attention within the CS2 community, with more than 200 votes on popular skin trading platforms, resulting in an impressive average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars. This sought-after skin is proudly wielded by renowned CS2 players such as guardian, snax, and kennys, further solidifying its desirability among players.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak Nova | Rising Sun (Well-Worn) features a unique finish reminiscent of a "Sunrise" style, blending intricate patterns with a vibrant color palette. The skin showcases a gradient of warm hues, creating a stunning visual effect that remains consistent across all pattern indexes on the CS2 model.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak Nova | Rising Sun (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 0.467 (-25.92%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.56 (-11.11%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.