StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier (Factory New)

4.4 4262 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 3.73
+43.57%
Last month
$ 4.17
+51.35%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 10.47
-14.81%
In a quarter
$ 13.88
+12.94%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
72% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
45 offers on 8 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Skinport
Skinport
15 offers
from $ 12.29
White.Market
White.Market
6 offers
from $ 12.73
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
5 offers
from $ 13.08
Steam
Steam
11 offers
from $ 14.05
Bitskins
Bitskins
2 offers
from $ 14.91
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
3 offers
from $ 15.1
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
1 offers
from $ 28.45
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
2 offers
from $ 29.66
Inspect skin
StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier (Factory New)
Gallery
Nova | Toy Soldier inspecting Nova | Toy Soldier reloading Nova | Toy Soldier holding Nova | Toy Soldier pose-1 Nova | Toy Soldier pose-2 Nova | Toy Soldier pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 12.29
  • 24h price change: 0.3265%
  • 7 days low: $ 8.56
  • 7 days high: $ 117
  • 7 days price change: 43.57%
  • 30 days low: $ 8.12
  • 30 days high: $ 118
  • 30 days price change: 51.35%
  • 90 days low: $ 8.12
  • 90 days high: $ 119
  • Year low: $ 6.94
  • Year high: $ 119
  • All time low: $ 6.94
  • All time high: $ 119
  • All time max offers: 79
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 3
  • Sales for last 7 days: 21
  • Sales for last 30 days: 76
  • Sales for last 90 days: 199
  • All time sales: 592
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.4211
  • Volatility: 17.33%
  • Liquidity: 28.44%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 10.47
  • Price forecast change in a month: -14.81%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 13.88
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 12.94%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 9.84
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 10.05
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 9.5
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 9.74
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 9.52
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 10.03
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 10.03
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 11.89
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.86
18.54%
Result
👍 Success
November 7, 2025
Price
$ 9.84
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 10.05
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 9.5
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 8.05
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 8.88
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 9.74
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 9.52
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 10.12
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 10.64
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 11.86
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 11.5
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 10.03
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 10.03
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 10.54
Action
🔥 Buy
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 10.73
Action
🔥 Buy
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 9.92
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 11.89
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.86
18.54%
Result
👍 Success
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 1.86
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 10.03
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
72%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
178
2814
2311
9045
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 8/32
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 40.0
  • Rate of fire: 68
  • Movement speed: 220
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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16 offers on 8 markets

Description

The Nova | Toy Soldier from StatTrak is an inexpensive option for the budget-savvy team looking to provide a trustworthy ambush gun. Its nostalgic green hand-painted finish reminds of childhood, and with a high pellet capacity, there will be a surplus of firepower.

History

History

The StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier (Factory New) was added to the CS2 universe on August 1, 2018, marking a new acquisition to the steadily expanding arsenal in the game. Eye-catching and in the Horizon Case, this was released on August 1st, 2018, accompanying the "A New Horizon" update, carefully crafted in great detail by a talented community designer going by "hexeth".

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier (Factory New) first appeared as a rare drop in the container of the Horizon Case, allowing players a chance to get this skin. Moreover, it is one of the highly valued skins in The Horizon Collection and therefore highly demanded by collectors and active CS2 players.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier (Factory New) is the most popular skin, holding an 85% popularity rating, positioning it within the top 15% of the most popular items in CS2. This ranking is determined by the analysis of its daily sales volume and the skin's price, confirming its widespread appeal among players.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier (Factory New) is a rare skin, ranked by rarity as 'Restricted' with only 134 other Shotgun skins existing. It boasts an estimated drop chance of 15.98% which further propels its already-high demand and value among collectors.

Availability

Availability

The StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier (Factory New) skin is moderate in pricing, around $0.32-$7.33, which is pretty affordable for most players. Moreover, it's easily available since it was released on many markets, and a player will not have to struggle much to get it. Actually, as of date, there are already 391.2K units of the Toy Soldier skin existing publicly in CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier Factory New is available in all exterior options in CS2, from 0.00 to 1.00 float value. This means players can enjoy the detailed Toy Soldier design in Factory New condition and add to it the kill-tracking feature of StatTrak for each exterior option.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Community sentiment about StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier (Factory New) for CS2 is incredibly high. The proof can be seen from the 4.4-star rating out of 5 stars based on over 4.2K votes on addskins.gg. Another fact proving its popularity is that it belongs to professional players in the game, such as nex, sjuush, and raalz.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier Factory New from CS2 features the "Custom Paint Job" style, an upbeat and hugely custom skin. Mainly in a green color, its finish called Toy Soldier remains unchanged depending on the pattern index - consistent and outstanding skin.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 10.47 (-14.81%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 13.88 (12.94%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players