StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear)

4.4 4251 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.02
+0.63%
Last month
$ 0.4
+14.44%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 3.05
-3.17%
In a quarter
$ 3.86
+22.54%
Action
Decision:
✋ Hold
Confidence:
👎 Low
67% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
105 offers on 9 markets
Updated4 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
Nova | Toy Soldier inspecting Nova | Toy Soldier reloading Nova | Toy Soldier holding Nova | Toy Soldier pose-1 Nova | Toy Soldier pose-2 Nova | Toy Soldier pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 3.17
  • 24h price change: 0.63%
  • 7 days low: $ 3.15
  • 7 days high: $ 12.46
  • 7 days price change: 0.63%
  • 30 days low: $ 2.77
  • 30 days high: $ 30.51
  • 30 days price change: 14.44%
  • 90 days low: $ 2.77
  • 90 days high: $ 54.39
  • Year low: $ 2.68
  • Year high: $ 54.39
  • All time low: $ 2.68
  • All time high: $ 54.39
  • All time max offers: 148
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 8
  • Sales for last 7 days: 56
  • Sales for last 30 days: 242
  • Sales for last 90 days: 610
  • All time sales: 1794
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: 0.0526
  • Volatility: 16.37%
  • Liquidity: 31.18%
  • Decision: ✋ Hold
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 3.05
  • Price forecast change in a month: -3.17%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 3.86
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 22.54%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 3.25
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 3.21
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.21
Action
❌ Avoid
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 3.42
Action
✋ Hold
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 3.08
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 2.97
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.97
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 3.58
Action
✋ Hold
November 6, 2025
Price
$ 3.25
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 3.14
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 2.92
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 3.09
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 3.34
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.21
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.33
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 3.21
Action
❌ Avoid
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 3.79
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 3.42
Action
✋ Hold
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 3.08
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 3.07
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.59
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.61
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.97
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.97
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 3.58
Action
✋ Hold
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 2.97
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
178
2814
2311
9045
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 8/32
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 40.0
  • Rate of fire: 68
  • Movement speed: 220
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Well-Worn
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Description

The Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear) is very affordable and thus very popular among teams on a tight budget, packing quite a punch for its low price. The nostalgic green paint job reminds one of toy soldiers from one's childhood, but the high pellet count ensures this isn't child's play.

History

History

The StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier skin was added to CS2 on August 1st, 2018, when the Horizon Case update swept in and took the player base by storm. This attractive skin was designed by "hexeth", a talented community designer who proved once again his skill and love for this game.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier-Minimal Wear is a rare skin that is obtainable through the opening of a Horizon Case container. With an intricately designed skin with a toy soldier motif, it is also part of the exclusive Horizon Collection to add a touch of nostalgia and playfulness on the battlefield.

Popularity

Popularity

Due to its high popularity, the skin StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear) holds an 85% popularity rating and is considered one of the top 15% most desired items in the game by CS2 players. This measurement is based on the strong volume of daily sales and consistently high price of this skin.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear) is one of the only 134 other shotgun skins that feature in CS2. Coming under the class of Restricted skin, this has quite a good rarity, having an estimated drop chance of around 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The price of the StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier Minimal Wear for CS2 skins starts from $0.32 and goes up to $7.33, making it a rather affordable skin. It's available in lots of markets, which makes this skin easy to get. At this very moment, the public CS2 inventories have 391.2K units of the Toy Soldier skin.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear) skin in CS2 ranges from 0.00 to 1.00, meaning that this skin is available in all exteriors. Furthermore, for each exterior, there is a corresponding StatTrak version of the Toy Soldier skin, which allows players to track their kills with style.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear) in CS2 is overwhelmingly positive, with a high average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars based on over 4.2K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further solidified by its ownership among professional CS2 players such as nex, sjuush, and raalz.

Finish style

Finish style

The skin StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear) from CS2 has a unique "Custom Paint Job" style and comes with many color options. The skin's base color is a bright green tint. The pattern index doesn't affect the striking finish of the Toy Soldier.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 3.05 (-3.17%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 3.86 (22.54%). Confidence is low — it is advised to hold.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players