StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn)

4.4 4231 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.56
+45.16%
Last month
$ 0.56
+45.16%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1.33
-26.11%
In a quarter
$ 2.25
+25.0%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
40% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
110 offers on 7 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn)
Gallery
Nova | Toy Soldier inspecting Nova | Toy Soldier reloading Nova | Toy Soldier holding Nova | Toy Soldier pose-1 Nova | Toy Soldier pose-2 Nova | Toy Soldier pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1.8
  • 7 days low: $ 1.24
  • 7 days high: $ 3.37
  • 7 days price change: 45.16%
  • 30 days low: $ 1.24
  • 30 days high: $ 4.49
  • 30 days price change: 45.16%
  • 90 days low: $ 1.22
  • 90 days high: $ 11.92
  • Year low: $ 1
  • Year high: $ 19.39
  • All time low: $ 1
  • All time high: $ 19.39
  • All time max offers: 210
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 12
  • Sales for last 7 days: 97
  • Sales for last 30 days: 361
  • Sales for last 90 days: 811
  • All time sales: 2160
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 0.56
  • Volatility: 12.64%
  • Liquidity: 24.25%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1.33
  • Price forecast change in a month: -26.11%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 2.25
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 25.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1.31
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.23
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 1.43
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 1.25
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.38
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.31
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.23
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 1.43
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 1.22
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 1.25
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.38
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.27
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.29
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 1.38
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 1.47
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 1.47
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 1.59
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.95
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.09
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.7
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 1.72
Action
❌ Avoid
October 31, 2025
Price
$ 1.81
Action
❌ Avoid
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
40%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
178
2814
2311
9045
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 8/32
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 40.0
  • Rate of fire: 68
  • Movement speed: 220
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn) is a more budget-friendly option for teams that want to surprise their opponents with an ambush. The green paint job evokes memories of childhood, and the high pellet count ensures a hail of firepower.

History

History

The StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn) was first released to CS2 on August 1st, 2018, and included in the Horizon Case and the "A New Horizon" update. This skin, designed by the community creator "hexeth," immediately gained attention with its unique and highly detailed design. The colors in it were just like those worn by a toy soldier.

Origin

Origin

The Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn) skin shows this shotgun has seen many battles and is attainable through an opening case container from the collection titled Horizon Case. Featuring a fun, toy soldier-themed skin, this particular skin is only available within the exclusive Horizon Collection, which further beautifies the harsh environment of Counter-Strike: Global Offensive.

Popularity

Popularity

StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn) is one of the most popular CS2 skins, judging by the top 15% of the most popular goods, with 85% popularity. Very wanted and rare skin will continue to be highly demanded, which is confirmed by big volume sales every day and relatively high value in this market.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn) has a total of 134 other shotgun skins in CS2. This skin is classified as Restricted, meaning it's relatively rare because the drop chance stands at about 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The prices of the CS2 StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn) range from $0.32-$7.33, an extremely cheap addition for gamers within the CS2 community. Being a relatively common skin and since its widespread release across markets, the StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier is one that gamers should not miss in adding to their virtual showcase. To emphasize how commonly found it has been, it's stated there are currently 391.2K units in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The StatTrak version of the Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn) is available in all exteriors for CS2, from float values between 0.00 and 1.00. That means players can find a StatTrak version of the Toy Soldier skin in any wear condition to add tracking to their weapon.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn) in CS2 is overwhelmingly positive, with over 4.2K votes on addskins.gg and an average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is further solidified by its ownership among professional CS2 players such as nex, sjuush, and raalz.

Finish style

Finish style

The skin, StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn) has a "Custom Paint Job" style in CS2. The skin provides a wide color spectrum: from green, dominating the majority of the rifle's body to pattern indexes not affecting the general look of the Toy Soldier skin.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 1.33 (-26.11%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 2.25 (25.0%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

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