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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the StatTrak Nova | Wood Fired (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

The StatTrak Nova | Wood Fired (Well-Worn) appeared virtually in CS2 on December 6th, 2018, when it was released as a part of the Danger Zone Case. This fancy skin was designed by a very talented community artist going by the name "XAKI" and quickly became one of the most wanted skins among players who wanted to give their Nova shotgun an eclectic and worn look.
The StatTrak Nova | Wood Fired (Well-Worn) was a very rare drop condition in the container of Danger Zone Case, hence one of the most wanted CS2 skins. This is also a part of the very exclusive Danger Zone Collection, which includes only a few skins, hence highly wanted and rare within the game itself.
The popularity of StatTrak Nova | Wood Fired (Well-Worn) is pretty high and presently in the top 15% of the most popular items in CS2. It determines through the daily sales volume and price, so it gets rated at 85% popularity.
The StatTrak Nova | Wood Fired (Well-Worn) is a skin from 134 other Shotgun skins existing in CS2. This skin is Mil-Spec Grade, which is relatively common and has an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.
The well-worn version of the StatTrak Nova | Wood Fired is an extremely cheap skin, and its price moves in a range from $0.04 to $0.55. Luckily, this skin is currently very abundant, and its markets are overwhelmed with offers to buy it. So, by now, there are about 1.9 million units of the Wood Fired skin in public CS2 inventories.
The float value for the Nova | Wood Fired (Well-Worn) in CS2 is between 0.00 and 0.75, meaning this gun can be gotten in all conditions. Moreover, players can get a StatTrak version of the Wood Fired skin in each available exterior.
The community sentiment towards the StatTrak Nova | Wood Fired (Well-Worn) in CS2 is extremely positive, with an average rating of 5.0 out of 5 stars based on over 2.9K votes on addskins.gg. Its ownership by popular professional players like guardian, fnx, and flamie further cements its popularity.
The StatTrak Nova | Wood Fired (Well-Worn) features a "Gunsmith" style, with custom paint and a patina applied to a very peculiar pattern. However, the finish of Wood Fired does not depend on the pattern index and has always looked authentically weathered on this gun.
According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak Nova | Wood Fired (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 0.177 (-38.9%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.21 (-27.62%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.