StatTrak ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)

2.9 7661 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 7
+4.46%
Last month
$ 19
+13.1%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 232
+41.02%
In a quarter
$ 242
+47.09%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
9% - Forecast accuracy
17% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
38 offers on 7 markets
Updated4 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)
Gallery
★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened holding ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 164
  • 24h price change: -0.61%
  • 7 days low: $ 157
  • 7 days high: $ 292
  • 7 days price change: 4.46%
  • 30 days low: $ 145
  • 30 days high: $ 377
  • 30 days price change: 13.1%
  • 90 days low: $ 145
  • 90 days high: $ 377
  • Year low: $ 136
  • Year high: $ 432
  • All time low: $ 136
  • All time high: $ 432
  • All time max offers: 39
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 2
  • Sales for last 30 days: 3
  • Sales for last 90 days: 4
  • All time sales: 15
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 1.82
  • Volatility: 9.16%
  • Liquidity: 7.81%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 232
  • Price forecast change in a month: 41.02%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 242
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 47.09%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 190
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 193
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 182
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 230
Action
✋ Hold
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 215
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 208
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 208
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 188
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -20.26
-9.74%
Result
👎 Fail
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 201
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 201
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 190
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 176
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 185
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 193
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 179
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 182
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 201
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 230
Action
✋ Hold
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 215
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 208
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 208
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 188
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -20.26
-9.74%
Result
👎 Fail
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 201
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 201
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 178
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 178
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 179
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 169
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -20.26
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 409
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
9%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
17%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 67.64
66%
From last month
76 offers on 8 markets

Description

History

History

The ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) first appeared in CS2 on September 17th, 2015, when they became one of the various knife combinations featured in the Shadow Case, which was released with the "Shadow Boxing" update. Equipped with a popular pattern, Case Hardened, this stattrak version creates highly envied knives because of demand by collectors and players everywhere.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is a rare skin of Shadow Daggers, available in the drop from the case Shadow Case in CS2. This particular skin is not part of any collections, hence making it one of the most wanted and unique in-game items.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened has a high demand, with the popularity of 90%. Due to its rarity and peculiar blue pattern, it is highly demanded by the CS2 players. Its popularity reflects in the high volume sales it makes on a daily basis and at an above-par price in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is a skin for the Knife in CS2, and it is one of the 391 available skins for said weapon. Being of Covert rarity, this Case Hardened variant is an extremely rare drop and is estimated at only 0.26% to drop.

Versions

Versions

Float value for the StatTrak ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) ranges from 0.38 to 0.45. There is moderate wear in appearance, but noticeable scratches are present and a slight fading of the blue pattern has happened. Each exterior variant for the Case Hardened also has a StatTrak variant, meaning that there's a way for collectors and players alike to count up the kills they have and yet sport a one-of-a-kind set of blue patterns on the daggers themselves.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for the StatTrak ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) in CS2 is mixed, as indicated by its rating of 2.9 out of 5 stars based on over 7.5K votes on addskins.gg. While some players appreciate its unique Case Hardened pattern, others may find the wear level to be a drawback.

Finish style

Finish style

This Well-Worn StatTrak ★ Shadow Daggers has a really interesting Case Hardened finish with a pattern index, adding depth and variation to the overall appearance-much like how the natural process of case hardening occurs on real-life weapons. The patina-style design gives this a weathered and battle-worn look that adds to the authenticity and ruggedness of the daggers.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 232 (41.02%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 242 (47.09%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.41
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class