StatTrak ★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)

4.2 3793 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 5
+1.25%
Last month
$ 75
+22.8%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 444
+8.99%
In a quarter
$ 401
-1.57%
Action
Decision:
✋ Hold
Confidence:
👎 Low
67% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
33 offers on 9 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)
Gallery
★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 404
  • 7 days low: $ 399
  • 7 days high: $ 799
  • 7 days price change: 1.25%
  • 30 days low: $ 329
  • 30 days high: $ 1 300
  • 30 days price change: 22.8%
  • 90 days low: $ 329
  • 90 days high: $ 12 304
  • Year low: $ 329
  • Year high: $ 128 606
  • All time low: $ 329
  • All time high: $ 128 606
  • All time max offers: 57
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 9
  • Sales for last 30 days: 23
  • Sales for last 90 days: 32
  • All time sales: 61
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.0457
  • Volatility: 11.45%
  • Liquidity: 9.06%
  • Decision: ✋ Hold
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 444
  • Price forecast change in a month: 8.99%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 401
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -1.57%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 441
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 432
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 466
Action
✋ Hold
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 430
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 407
Action
✋ Hold
November 7, 2025
Price
$ 441
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 441
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 432
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 432
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 432
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 405
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 445
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 447
Action
❌ Avoid
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 431
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 466
Action
✋ Hold
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 464
Action
✋ Hold
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 430
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 451
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 455
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 362
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 407
Action
✋ Hold
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The ★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened entered the realm of CS2 on November 18th, 2019, when it was announced as one of the highly anticipated additions in the Fracture Case. This special design of a knife with a very hypnotic Case Hardened pattern immediately became something that collectors and players desired to add a touch of class to their virtual arsenals.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is one of the rarest skins, and it can only be obtained by opening a container, either Fracture Case or Shattered Web Case, in CS2. Unlike other skins, this one doesn't belong to any collections, which is why it is highly desired by collectors and players alike.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak ★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is one of the most popular CS2 skins, holding a place in the top 15% of the most wanted items. This position is based on the number of skin sales every day and its market price, which reflects the high demand and value for this particular knife.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is a skin from only 391 knife skins in CS2. Given that this Case Hardened version has a Covert rarity, it should be very rare to drop and can have only a 0.26% chance to drop.

Availability

Availability

The Case Hardened version for StatTrak ★ Skeleton Knife has quite a high price range within Counter-Strike: from $396.53 to $1,240.00. Nevertheless, one could access it pretty easily, since it's presented at various marketplace platforms. There're about 4.7K units of given Case Hardened variation for sale on public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the StatTrak ★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) ranges from 0.38 to 0.44, allowing for a moderate wear appearance with noticeable scratches and some discoloration. This version is available in all exteriors, and each exterior also has a StatTrak variant, providing players with the option to track their kills with this unique and sought-after skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

On average, community sentiment toward StatTrak ★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is good because it got an average of 4.2 out of 5 stars over more than 3.6K votes at addskins.gg. Adding more to this fact that even professional players like niko, arya, and jame have this skin, thus making this item even more desirable among the CS2 community.

Finish style

Finish style

This well-worn StatTrak ★ Skeleton Knife has a stunning "Case Hardened" finish, featuring a unique pattern index that affects its appearance. The patina-style finish in this skin resembles the actual process of case hardening, where metals get heated and cooled in a way that produces a hardened shell over the parts, producing a stunningly distinctive visual effect.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 444 (8.99%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 401 (-1.57%). Confidence is low — it is advised to hold.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.41
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players