StatTrak ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)

4.8 3664 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 16
+4.58%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 461
+26.04%
In a quarter
$ 506
+38.34%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
👎 Low
94% - Forecast accuracy
100% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
6 offers on 5 markets
Updated9 minutes ago
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from $ 7 618
ShadowPay
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from $ 7 837
Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 365
  • 7 days low: $ 365
  • 7 days high: $ 7 837
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 349
  • 30 days high: $ 7 837
  • 30 days price change: 4.58%
  • 90 days low: $ 349
  • 90 days high: $ 7 837
  • Year low: $ 335
  • Year high: $ 7 837
  • All time low: $ 335
  • All time high: $ 7 837
  • All time max offers: 9
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 0
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1
  • All time sales: 2
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: 1.75
  • Volatility: 8.14%
  • Liquidity: 0.38%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 461
  • Price forecast change in a month: 26.04%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 506
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 38.34%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 533
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 738
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 340
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 340
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 450
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 110
32.35%
Result
👍 Success
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 440
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 450
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 450
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 520
Action
✋ Hold
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 446
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 533
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 789
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 738
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 340
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 340
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 340
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 450
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 110
32.35%
Result
👍 Success
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 440
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 440
Action
❌ Avoid
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 450
Action
❌ Avoid
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 450
Action
❌ Avoid
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 450
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 450
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 520
Action
✋ Hold
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 520
Action
✋ Hold
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 446
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 354
Action
🔥 Buy
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 565
Action
🔥 Buy
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 110
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 790
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
94%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
100%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened was introduced to CS2 on November 18th, 2019, when it became the new knife skin added in the Fracture Case. This highly desired knife immediately found its fan base among players because of its unique Case Hardened pattern, with the added allure of StatTrak technology that gave users the capability to track their kills with style.

Origin

Origin

This Survival Knife Case Hardened with StatTrak ★ was an extremely difficult skin to pull in any condition from a Fracture Case or a Shattered Web Case in Counter-Strike: Global Offensive gameplay. Because it does not appear in any collections, it can also be considered very valuable for collectors and players.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened enjoys unbelievable popularity of 95% among CS2 players, which clearly places this skin among the most demanded ones. For such popularity, it merits great daily sales volume and, respectively, has a rather high price on the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) has a total of 391 knife skins in CS2. This is the Covert Case Hardened variant, making it one of the incredibly rare drops from cases and with an approximate drop chance of only 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

One of the more popular skins of this version for CS2 would be the StatTrak ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) and is actually reasonably tagged for price with an in-game monetary range between $144.59-$901.57 making this knife one of the costlier ones, whereas currently, it's generally stocked up and can easily be purchased from different market listings. Actually, there are already 4.8K units of the Case Hardened skin in public CS2 inventories, thus providing quite a decent supply for those who wish to add it to their collection.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened ranges between 0.00 to 1.00, which makes the skin drop in every exterior and each of these exteriors has a different pattern. There is also a StatTrak available for every exterior of Case Hardened, adding kill tracking to the knife.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment of StatTrak ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) from CS2 is very positive, since it boasts an average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars based on over 3.6K votes on addskins.gg. Moreover, this skin belongs to a pro CS2 player-pimp, which adds great popularity to it.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New StatTrak ★ Survival Knife has a pretty Case Hardened finish with a mesmerizing marriage of blue, purple, and gold hues. The pattern index is highly influential in the appearance of this skin, making the design unique and intricate-looking, adding a bit of elegance to this deadly weapon.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 461 (26.04%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 506 (38.34%). Confidence is low — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players