StatTrak ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)

4.8 3689 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 76
+47.5%
Last month
$ 76
+47.5%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 211
+4.55%
In a quarter
$ 262
+29.82%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
75% - Forecast accuracy
75% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
25 offers on 6 markets
Updated4 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 236
  • 24h price change: 19.19%
  • 7 days low: $ 160
  • 7 days high: $ 400
  • 7 days price change: 47.5%
  • 30 days low: $ 160
  • 30 days high: $ 2 500
  • 30 days price change: 47.5%
  • 90 days low: $ 160
  • 90 days high: $ 2 500
  • Year low: $ 160
  • Year high: $ 2 500
  • All time low: $ 160
  • All time high: $ 2 500
  • All time max offers: 45
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 3
  • Sales for last 30 days: 9
  • Sales for last 90 days: 13
  • All time sales: 47
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 2.48
  • Volatility: 8.04%
  • Liquidity: 12.97%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 211
  • Price forecast change in a month: 4.55%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 262
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 29.82%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 227
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 218
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 230
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 221
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 222
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 244
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 183
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 183
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 227
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 218
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 216
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 230
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 230
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 221
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 202
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 221
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 222
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 244
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 244
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 233
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 242
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 227
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 183
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 183
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 190
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 183
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
75%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
75%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened was first introduced in CS2 on November 18th, 2019, as a new knife skin featured in the Fracture Case. It was one of the highly requested skins to be featured in the game, as its Case Hardened pattern differs from all others and adds style definitely to every player's loadout.

Origin

Origin

This skin is so rare and coveted that acquiring a StatTrak ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) is only possible if a player opens a container either in Fracture Case or Shattered Web Case because it is not included in a collection unlike most knives, making this skin unique and a preferred target of collectors and even players who just want one in their inventory.

Popularity

Popularity

With the popularity rating of 95% overwhelming, StatTrak ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened managed to become an absolute sensation among the audience of CS2. Its high demand and market value make this item one of the most wished for and desired in-game items.

Rarity

Rarity

This skin is extremely rare; it is one of only 391 available Knife skins. The StatTrak ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened Minimal Wear has a Covert rarity classification, making it an ultra-rare drop with an estimated chance of just 0.26% to obtain.

Availability

Availability

A relatively popular skin, the ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened Minimal Wear for CS2 has an approximate price of 144.59-$901.57 dollars. As many as now, it was sold via multiple markets, currently, it's represented in the public inventories of CS2 around 4.8 K units.

Versions

Versions

This Survival Knife with the Case Hardened design in CS2 can be found in all sorts of exteriors, featuring float values ranging from 0.00 to 1.00. Plus, for each exterior, there is a corresponding StatTrak version of the Case Hardened knife, providing options for players to use and track kills with this striking skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) creates a very positive community reaction due to an average level of 4.8 out of 5-star reviews, based on over 3.6K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity is pointed out by the fact that this skin is owned by professional CS2 player pimp.

Finish style

Finish style

This skin, in StatTrak ★ form, has a Case Hardened finish featuring a pattern index unique enough to be a spectacular riot of warm blues and golds reminiscent of a mesmerizing sunset unfolding across the metal face of a knife. The patina gives a worn appearance, almost a testament of battles gone and won through the knife on the virtual battlefield.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 211 (4.55%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 262 (29.82%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.11
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players