StatTrak ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)

4.8 3636 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 18
+11.11%
Last month
$ 54
+42.86%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 185
+2.98%
In a quarter
$ 165
-8.15%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
80% - Forecast accuracy
80% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
16 offers on 8 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
White.Market
White.Market
3 offers
from $ 180
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
1 offers
from $ 181
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
2 offers
from $ 184
Skinport
Skinport
1 offers
from $ 201
Steam
Steam
5 offers
from $ 229
Bitskins
Bitskins
2 offers
from $ 239
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 250
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 250
Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)
Gallery
★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 180
  • 7 days low: $ 162
  • 7 days high: $ 298
  • 7 days price change: 11.11%
  • 30 days low: $ 126
  • 30 days high: $ 298
  • 30 days price change: 42.86%
  • 90 days low: $ 126
  • 90 days high: $ 298
  • Year low: $ 126
  • Year high: $ 32 274
  • All time low: $ 126
  • All time high: $ 32 274
  • All time max offers: 75
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 4
  • Sales for last 30 days: 20
  • Sales for last 90 days: 31
  • All time sales: 73
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: -0.169
  • Volatility: 12.39%
  • Liquidity: 7.53%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 185
  • Price forecast change in a month: 2.98%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 165
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -8.15%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 183
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 170
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 200
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 182
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 182
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 183
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 183
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 188
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 170
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 170
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 200
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 182
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 183
Action
✋ Hold
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 182
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 186
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 186
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 186
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 172
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 184
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 168
Action
❌ Avoid
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 180
Action
❌ Avoid
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
80%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
80%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Related
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$ 66.98
31%
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125 offers on 10 markets

Description

History

History

The ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) was released on November 18th, 2019, and immediately it became one of the hottest knife skins in CS2. It was included in the Fracture Case that came forth with the update "Operation Shattered Web" and promptly stole all the attention of the skins in the release with this unique and catching Case Hardened pattern.

Origin

Origin

This Survival Knife Case Hardened (Well-Worn) was forged by master craftsmen in the deep core of Fracture Case and Shattered Web Case containers. The unique pattern of the blue gem inlaid into the blade speaks volumes about art on this creation. Since this is a standalone skin and isn't part of any collection, it's very cherished by collectors and enthusiasts.

Popularity

Popularity

This skin is in a well-worn state, so it features a 95% popularity rating. Basically, such a high level of popularity for the ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened could be attributed to the original pattern, combined with the StatTrak feature that has made the skin extremely desired by CS2 players.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is one of 391 variations of the Knife in Counter-Strike: Global Offensive. The skin belongs to the Covert category and the Case Hardened variation rarely drops, with a real drop chance of just about 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

This makes the ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) for CS2 one of the more expensive ones: it costs in a range from $144.59 to $901.57. Still, this skin is now very easy to get because it is available on many markets. Moreover, the public inventories of CS2 users hold around 4.8K units of the Case Hardened skin.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) ranges between 0.38-0.45, giving this knife a fair amount of wear and tear. This highly popular skin is available in all exterior states and also features a StatTrak variant for collectors who need to keep track of their kills.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment about the StatTrak ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) in CS2 is overwhelmingly positive, with a high average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars based on over 3.6K votes on addskins.gg. Besides, that it is owned by professional CS2 player pimp further adds to its desirability and popularity among the players.

Finish style

Finish style

This well-worn StatTrak ★ Survival Knife has a case hardened finish featuring a patina-style painting. The pattern index highly affects the look of the finish and emulates real-life patina that forms on weapons, such as case hardening, cold bluing, and acid forced patinas.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 185 (2.98%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 165 (-8.15%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.41
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players