StatTrak ★ Survival Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)

4.8 4141 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 46
+14.29%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 508
+37.86%
In a quarter
$ 476
+29.18%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
34% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
50% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
7 offers on 5 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Steam
Steam
2 offers
from $ 403
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
2 offers
from $ 425
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 431
White.Market
White.Market
1 offers
from $ 431
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 431
Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Survival Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
★ Survival Knife | Fade inspecting ★ Survival Knife | Fade holding ★ Survival Knife | Fade pose-1 ★ Survival Knife | Fade pose-2 ★ Survival Knife | Fade pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 368
  • 7 days low: $ 368
  • 7 days high: $ 528
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 322
  • 30 days high: $ 627
  • 30 days price change: 14.29%
  • 90 days low: $ 319
  • 90 days high: $ 627
  • Year low: $ 314
  • Year high: $ 627
  • All time low: $ 314
  • All time high: $ 627
  • All time max offers: 13
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 2
  • Sales for last 30 days: 4
  • Sales for last 90 days: 4
  • All time sales: 6
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 1.11
  • Volatility: 7.34%
  • Liquidity: 1.21%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 508
  • Price forecast change in a month: 37.86%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 476
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 29.18%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Survival Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 455
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 561
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 561
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 329
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ - 232
-41.37%
Result
👎 Fail
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 402
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 470
Action
✋ Hold
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 385
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 385
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 431
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 46.07
11.98%
Result
👍 Success
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 425
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 425
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 455
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 469
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 561
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 561
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 329
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ - 232
-41.37%
Result
👎 Fail
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 402
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 460
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 464
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 470
Action
✋ Hold
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 385
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 385
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 326
Action
🔥 Buy
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 431
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 46.07
11.98%
Result
👍 Success
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 425
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 425
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 404
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 324
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 323
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 402
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ - 186
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 1 370
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
2
Success count
1
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
34%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
50%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 82.49
34%
From last month
144 offers on 9 markets
$ 172
45%
From last week
14 offers on 9 markets
$ 57.69
38%
From last month
370 offers on 11 markets

Description

History

History

The ★ Survival Knife | Fade was released on November 18th, 2019, as part of the Fracture Case. Due to its amazing-looking fade pattern and having a StatTrak feature, this skin of the knife was in demand as soon as it had been released among players.

Origin

Origin

The ★ Survival Knife | Fade is one of the rarest and most popular skins in CS2, with an impressively mesmerizing design, morphing from bright colors into a sleek black blade. It can be obtained through opening a container either Fracture Case or Shattered Web Case, thus giving players an opportunity to take this beauty and killer into the battlefield.

Popularity

Popularity

With the popularity rating of 95%, the ★ Survival Knife | Fade is in high demand among CS2 players, which makes it one of the most wanted items in the game. This rating is determined by analyzing the skin's daily sales volume and its market value, reflecting the immense demand for this particular knife skin.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Survival Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) is a CS2 skin, and it is one of 391 skins for the knife. Covert is the rarity of this skin, meaning it is one of the most rare drop skins. The estimated drop chance is 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The StatTrak ★ Survival Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) is very popular and can be bought for a price of around $532.06 - $999.86. At the moment, with its extremely high price, it's pretty widely available and can also be traded via third-party marketplaces. About 4.7K people already have this Fade version of the skin in their open CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float range for the StatTrak ★ Survival Knife | Fade is from 0.00 to 0.08, making it possible for one to get both Factory New and Minimal Wear versions. There is also a variant of StatTrak with each exterior, so even a collector can find it for every Fade to track one's kills in style.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the StatTrak ★ Survival Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) in CS2 is extremely positive; it has acquired a rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars, with over 4.1K votes on addskins.gg. Further evidence of its popularity can be found in the fact that apex, fer, and jasonr are among the well-known professional players who own this knife.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak ★ Survival Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) has a "Anodized Airbrushed" finish applied, which imitates the art of candy coating in a hand-painted manner. Its pattern index of the Fade determines how the finish looks, with colors ranging from a spectrum of vibrant hues that smoothly transition along the blade.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Survival Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 508 (37.86%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 476 (29.18%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.07
Max: 0.08
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players