StatTrak ★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New)

4.9 1409 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 159
+14.85%
Last month
$ 407
+49.45%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1 542
+20.48%
In a quarter
$ 1 158
-9.52%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
1% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
23 offers on 10 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Talon Knife | Fade inspecting ★ Talon Knife | Fade holding ★ Talon Knife | Fade pose-1 ★ Talon Knife | Fade pose-2 ★ Talon Knife | Fade pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1 230
  • 7 days low: $ 1 071
  • 7 days high: $ 2 813
  • 7 days price change: 14.85%
  • 30 days low: $ 823
  • 30 days high: $ 2 813
  • 30 days price change: 49.45%
  • 90 days low: $ 823
  • 90 days high: $ 2 899
  • Year low: $ 823
  • Year high: $ 274 901
  • All time low: $ 823
  • All time high: $ 274 901
  • All time max offers: 61
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 1
  • Sales for last 30 days: 23
  • Sales for last 90 days: 26
  • All time sales: 65
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: -0.1949
  • Volatility: 23.95%
  • Liquidity: 5.6%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1 542
  • Price forecast change in a month: 20.48%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1 158
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -9.52%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1 500
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 849
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 849
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 823
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -25.88
-3.05%
Result
👎 Fail
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 1 420
Action
❌ Avoid
November 2, 2025
Price
$ 1 500
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1 435
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 1 360
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 1 512
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 1 505
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1 432
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 1 513
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 1 519
Action
❌ Avoid
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 1 490
Action
❌ Avoid
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 1 525
Action
❌ Avoid
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 1 440
Action
❌ Avoid
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 1 486
Action
❌ Avoid
September 30, 2025
Price
$ 1 465
Action
❌ Avoid
October 8, 2025
Price
$ 1 540
Action
❌ Avoid
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 849
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 849
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 823
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -25.88
-3.05%
Result
👎 Fail
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 1 420
Action
❌ Avoid
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -25.88
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 849
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
1%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The ★ Talon Knife | Fade first entered the realm of CS2 on August 1st, 2018, when it was introduced as a part of the Danger Zone Case. Thanks to its great fade pattern and deadliness, this weapon instantly gained popularity among players and established itself as one of the most demanded pieces in the game.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) was presented to the CS2 community by opening Danger Zone Case or Horizon Case containers, giving players a chance to get this super rare and highly wanted skin. Since it does not belong to any collection, it is even more unique and exclusive than other skins.

Popularity

Popularity

Equipped with only a popularity rating of 15%, StatTrak ★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) is one of the most in-demand and rather rare CS2 skins. In fact, less than its availability and with high pricing, it turns out to be highly demanded by collectors and enthusiasts.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) is one of 391 other Knife skins existing in CS2. This skin is ultra rare and belongs to the Covert rarity class, having an estimated drop chance of merely 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) is one of the most popular skins in CS2, and its price fluctuates between $1,303.81-$1,489.14. Despite such a high price, the skin can be widely bought right now on different markets, which makes it accessible to players. Currently, about 5.2K units of the Fade appear in public CS2 inventories, which is an indicator of its popularity among collectors and enthusiasts.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the ★ Talon Knife | Fade ranges from 0.00 to 0.08, allowing players to get the skin in its pristine Factory New condition or the slightly worn Minimal Wear condition. Besides, each exterior option for the Fade has a StatTrak variant, which gives a touch of personalization and tracking on the knife.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Community Sentiment: The community sentiment regarding the StatTrak ★ Talon Knife | Fade in CS2 is generally very favorable, which is well reflected in its average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars, with over 1.3K votes on addskins.gg. To further solidify its popularity, ownership includes well-known professional players such as pimp, n0thing, and lucas1.

Finish style

Finish style

StatTrak ★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) embodies a hypnotic "Anodized Airbrushed" look and is crafted to appear exactly as the process of candy coat application with free-hand airbrushing would make the appearance of the Fade finish varied depending on its pattern index, creating an exciting mix of hues into an entirely different one.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 1 542 (20.48%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 1 158 (-9.52%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.08
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class