StatTrak UMP-45 | Bone Pile (Factory New)

4.4 8331 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 7.7
+22.45%
Last month
$ 12.01
+40.05%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 35.76
-8.38%
In a quarter
$ 41.59
+6.56%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
88% - Forecast accuracy
84% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
8 offers on 3 markets
Updated12 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Bitskins
Bitskins
2 offers
from $ 42
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
1 offers
from $ 44.94
Steam
Steam
5 offers
from $ 59.83
Inspect skin
StatTrak UMP-45 | Bone Pile (Factory New)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Bone Pile inspecting UMP-45 | Bone Pile reloading UMP-45 | Bone Pile holding UMP-45 | Bone Pile pose-1 UMP-45 | Bone Pile pose-2 UMP-45 | Bone Pile pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 42
  • 24h price change: 22.45%
  • 7 days low: $ 34.3
  • 7 days high: $ 68.31
  • 7 days price change: 22.45%
  • 30 days low: $ 29.99
  • 30 days high: $ 68.72
  • 30 days price change: 40.05%
  • 90 days low: $ 22.67
  • 90 days high: $ 3 313
  • Year low: $ 18.78
  • Year high: $ 3 313
  • All time low: $ 18.78
  • All time high: $ 3 313
  • All time max offers: 15
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 3
  • Sales for last 30 days: 8
  • Sales for last 90 days: 20
  • All time sales: 56
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.1604
  • Volatility: 8.62%
  • Liquidity: 10.14%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 35.76
  • Price forecast change in a month: -8.38%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 41.59
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 6.56%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Bone Pile (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 37.86
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 30.34
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 30.35
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 25.3
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 25.3
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 30.42
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 5.12
20.24%
Result
👍 Success
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 30.23
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 30.23
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 31.82
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.59
5.25%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 34.35
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 37.86
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 32.55
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 34.01
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 30.34
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 30.35
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 25.23
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 25.3
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 25.3
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 30.42
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 5.12
20.24%
Result
👍 Success
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 30.23
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 30.23
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 30.33
Action
🔥 Buy
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 30.42
Action
🔥 Buy
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 31.45
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 31.82
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.59
5.25%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 34.35
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 36
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 38.79
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 6.71
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 55.53
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
88%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
84%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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46%
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$ 55.16
42%
From last week
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4.9 6157
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UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
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$ 0.97
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From last month
37 offers on 4 markets

Description

The UMP-45 | Bone Pile (Factory New) is an extremely underappreciated close combat SMG, with its only real drawback being the small magazine capacity. It has a truly unique design, blending skulls over a detailed wiring diagram, and would be a required addition to any collector's stash, especially to those with a Cache-themed collection.

History

History

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Bone Pile was introduced to CS2 on September 19th, 2013, when it was released as part of the Operation Bravo Case. This skin would go on to be quite popular among players because of its striking bone pile design, further sweetened by the presence of StatTrak technology that helps track the kills made from the weapon.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Bone Pile (Factory New) is a rare skin that can be obtained by unboxing an Operation Bravo Case container, which is filled with various exclusive finishes for different weapons. This particular skin is also part of The Bravo Collection, a limited edition set of cosmetics that boasts unique designs inspired by bone motifs.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Bone Pile (Factory New) has retained a very consistent position within the community of CS2, with its popularity rating well at 75%. This ranks it in the top 25% most popular items for the game with respect to sales volume and prevailing market value per day.

Rarity

Rarity

The UMP-45 | Bone Pile (Factory New) belongs to the Mil-Spec Grade rarity and is one of the 237 SMG skins in CS2. Being in Mil-Spec Grade, it's a relatively common drop with an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The StatTrak skin of UMP-45 | Bone Pile in CS2 is pretty cheap and will cost the player around $4.56-$19.99. Such popular skin is available and can be purchased on different markets. Besides, there is a pretty big amount of about 38.5K units of the Bone Pile skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the UMP-45 | Bone Pile in Factory New condition is from 0.06 to 0.34, which makes it so players can get this skin in pristine condition and also in Minimal Wear and Field-Tested conditions. Besides, collectors are able to find a StatTrak variant of the Bone Pile for each of the exterior qualities.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment regarding the StatTrak UMP-45 | Bone Pile (Factory New) in CS2 is extremely positive, amassing a great number of votes with an average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further reinforced by ownership among renowned professional players like krystal, sick, and skytten.

Finish style

Finish style

The pattern index strongly influences the looks of this StatTrak UMP-45 | Bone Pile Factory New skin and gives it a spray-painted design with multiple layers and a stencil pattern. While predominantly gray, the shades and intensity of paint vary with the pattern index to create a unique and visually striking finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Bone Pile (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 35.76 (-8.38%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 41.59 (6.56%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.06
Max: 0.34
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.