StatTrak UMP-45 | Delusion (Factory New)

4.9 5574 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.06
+0.74%
Last month
$ 0.92
+12.65%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 7.77
-5.13%
In a quarter
$ 11.68
+42.61%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
0% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
27 offers on 7 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Skinport
Skinport
10 offers
from $ 8.19
Steam
Steam
8 offers
from $ 9.46
Bitskins
Bitskins
3 offers
from $ 10.99
CS.DEALS
CS.DEALS
1 offers
from $ 11
White.Market
White.Market
2 offers
from $ 13.18
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
2 offers
from $ 13.54
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
1 offers
from $ 16.71
Inspect skin
StatTrak UMP-45 | Delusion (Factory New)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Delusion inspecting UMP-45 | Delusion reloading UMP-45 | Delusion holding UMP-45 | Delusion pose-1 UMP-45 | Delusion pose-2 UMP-45 | Delusion pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 8.19
  • 24h price change: 0.3676%
  • 7 days low: $ 8.13
  • 7 days high: $ 67.81
  • 7 days price change: 0.74%
  • 30 days low: $ 7.27
  • 30 days high: $ 68.32
  • 30 days price change: 12.65%
  • 90 days low: $ 4.47
  • 90 days high: $ 694
  • Year low: $ 3.5
  • Year high: $ 694
  • All time low: $ 3.5
  • All time high: $ 694
  • All time max offers: 51
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 14
  • Sales for last 30 days: 63
  • Sales for last 90 days: 146
  • All time sales: 354
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.78
  • Volatility: 16.15%
  • Liquidity: 19.12%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 7.77
  • Price forecast change in a month: -5.13%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 11.68
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 42.61%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Delusion (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 5.3
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 6.33
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 5.83
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 5.83
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 5.3
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 6.33
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 6.22
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 6.18
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 5.83
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 5.83
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 6.27
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 6.58
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 4.66
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 6.3
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 6.99
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 6.99
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 7.54
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 7.99
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 8.16
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 7.27
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 8.16
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 5.83
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
0%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
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From last month
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UMP-45 | Fade
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From last month
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UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Minimal Wear
$ 68
46%
From last week
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$ 3.78
38%
From last month
89 offers on 9 markets
$ 13.99
66%
From last month
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UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
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Field-Tested
$ 55.17
42%
From last week
19 offers on 7 markets
4.9 6157
In a year 69%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Minimal Wear
$ 0.97
43%
From last month
134 offers on 6 markets

Description

UMP-45 | Delusion (Factory New) is a super underrated submachine gun with the best traits in close combat, yet it suffers from a rather small magazine capacity. This sleek piece features an attractive nautilus design painted on it and generally exudes mystery and allure, much like Carcosa.

History

History

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Delusion (Factory New) was introduced to the CS2 community on November 11th, 2014, featuring the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case alongside the "Operation Vanguard" update. The skin, designed by the talented community artist Algis, quickly became popular among players with its intricate design and the added feature of StatTrak, which allowed users to track their kills with the weapon.

Origin

Origin

The UMP-45 | Delusion, Factory New, is a pretty rare and highly demanded skin in CS2. It can be obtained by opening an Operation Vanguard Weapon Case container. This skin also belongs to the very exclusive Vanguard Collection due to its unique and bright design, making it highly desirable for both collectors and players.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Delusion is one of the most aspired items within the CS2 community, with a popularity rating of 75%. This means it lies within the top 25% of the most highly desired items, based on its daily sales volume and market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The UMP-45 | Delusion is one of 237 other SMG skins existing in the game. This skin features an Mil-Spec Grade rarity, meaning it's relatively common, with an estimated drop chance of about 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The skin, StatTrak UMP-45 | Delusion (Factory New), is inexpensive. It's one of the most affordable skins for CS2, with prices starting at $0.21-$3.85. Because markets where it is sold are very accessible, the StatTrak UMP-45 | Delusion skin has gained extreme popularity among players. Currently, Delusion is part of around 187.6K public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The Factory New UMP-45 | Delusion has a float value that ranges from 0.06 to 0.35, making it perfect with no notable flaws. There is also an available StatTrak variant of the Delusion in all its exterior qualities, which include Field-Tested, Minimal Wear, and Factory New.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Community Sentiment-This skin, StatTrak UMP-45 | Delusion Factory New, rates very high at 4.9 out of 5-star rating and over 5.4K votes on addskins.gg. Besides, it is popular among pro players, as it was owned by famous CS2 players such as hiko, seang@res, and havoc.

Finish style

Finish style

The skin is from StatTrak UMP-45 | Delusion (Factory New) for CS2. Skin style is Spray-Paint, and it is obtained by layering several coats of paint in stencil patterns. The primary color is a green tint, although how Delusion looks as a finish would vary with the pattern index it uses.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Delusion (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 7.77 (-5.13%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 11.68 (42.61%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.06
Max: 0.35
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.