StatTrak UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear)

4.9 5410 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.16
+13.79%
Last month
$ 0.16
+13.79%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1.68
+25.37%
In a quarter
$ 2.23
+66.42%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
84% - Forecast accuracy
84% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
235 offers on 9 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
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from $ 1.32
White.Market
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from $ 1.37
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
25 offers
from $ 1.38
Steam
Steam
92 offers
from $ 1.67
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
19 offers
from $ 1.77
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
10 offers
from $ 2.54
Skinport
Skinport
18 offers
from $ 2.56
CS.DEALS
CS.DEALS
1 offers
from $ 4
Bitskins
Bitskins
3 offers
from $ 4.42
Inspect skin
StatTrak UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Delusion inspecting UMP-45 | Delusion reloading UMP-45 | Delusion holding UMP-45 | Delusion pose-1 UMP-45 | Delusion pose-2 UMP-45 | Delusion pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1.32
  • 7 days low: $ 1.16
  • 7 days high: $ 58.44
  • 7 days price change: 13.79%
  • 30 days low: $ 1.16
  • 30 days high: $ 58.88
  • 30 days price change: 13.79%
  • 90 days low: $ 1.16
  • 90 days high: $ 59.17
  • Year low: $ 0.98
  • Year high: $ 59.17
  • All time low: $ 0.98
  • All time high: $ 59.17
  • All time max offers: 335
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 13
  • Sales for last 7 days: 98
  • Sales for last 30 days: 360
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1011
  • All time sales: 2581
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 5, 2025
  • Risk: 1.32
  • Volatility: 17.36%
  • Liquidity: 31.12%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1.68
  • Price forecast change in a month: 25.37%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 2.23
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 66.42%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1.42
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.67
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 1.51
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 1.58
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.41
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.58
Action
✋ Hold
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 2.08
Action
❌ Avoid
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 2.15
Action
✋ Hold
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 2.05
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.64
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.64
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.42
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.67
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 1.51
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 1.61
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 1.58
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.41
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.48
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.58
Action
✋ Hold
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 2.08
Action
❌ Avoid
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 2.15
Action
✋ Hold
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 2.23
Action
✋ Hold
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 2.05
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.64
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.64
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.67
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.41
Action
🔥 Buy
October 28, 2025
Price
$ 1.33
Action
🔥 Buy
November 5, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 1.64
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
84%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
84%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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From last week
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UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
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$ 55.17
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From last week
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UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
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Description

The UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) is a versatile close-quarters automatic, often underappreciated due to its small magazine capacity. The screen-printed nautilus design adds an intriguing touch, reminiscent of the mysterious Carcosa.

History

History

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) was added to CS2 on November 11th, 2014, as part of Operation Vanguard. This eye-catching skin was released together with the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case and had been designed by a fantastic community designer Algis, then suddenly became popular in-game.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) was presented to the community by the container Operation Vanguard Weapon Case, where one could get it while opening cases. This skin is included in the Vanguard Collection, making it more valuable and attractive to collectors and players.

Popularity

Popularity

At this very moment, in the CS2 community, the skin UMP-45 | Delusion, the StatTrak version, has grown high demand for and is rated 75% popularity. In a row, having a stable high sales volume with a hefty market price, it places this skin among the rare top 25 percent skins.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) is one of 237 available SMG skins in CS2. However, the skin is Mil-Spec Grade, which puts the Delusion into one of the most common drops and is expected to fall with a drop chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The UMP-45 | Delusion Minimal Wear for CS2 has a relatively cheap price, which ranges from $0.21 to $3.85, depending on the skin's float value. As a highly demanded skin, Delusion is widely available in many markets and can be easily purchased. For example, there are already 187.6K units of Delusion in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The StatTrak version of the UMP-45 | Delusion has a float value between 0.06 and 0.35, offering players this skin in Factory New, Minimal Wear, and Field-Tested states. There's also a StatTrak version of the Delusion for collectors in every exterior variant option.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment regarding StatTrak UMP-45 | Delusion-Minimal Wear in CS2 is positive; therefore, it holds an average rating of 4.9 out of 5-star ratings, going over 5.4K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity can be estimated, as this weapon is part of the inventory of prominent professional players hiko, seang@res, and havoc.

Finish style

Finish style

This StatTrak Minimal Wear UMP-45 Delusion is adorned with a "Spray-Paint" skin of the realistic kind, where intricate stencil patterns are painstakingly applied and covered by several coats of paint. Dominated by green tints, this piece of weaponry really stands out from the crowd, and its Delusion finish differs in appearance according to its pattern index, thus making this design highly realistic and interactive.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 1.68 (25.37%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 2.23 (66.42%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.35
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.