StatTrak UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New)

4.5 3771 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.4
+11.46%
Last month
$ 0.6
+18.24%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 4.23
+6.55%
In a quarter
$ 6.33
+59.45%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
87% - Forecast accuracy
86% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
205 offers on 9 markets
Updated8 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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ShadowPay
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from $ 4.12
Steam
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27 offers
from $ 4.61
Skinport
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20 offers
from $ 4.81
Bitskins
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2 offers
from $ 19.99
Inspect skin
StatTrak UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Exposure inspecting UMP-45 | Exposure reloading UMP-45 | Exposure holding UMP-45 | Exposure pose-1 UMP-45 | Exposure pose-2 UMP-45 | Exposure pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 3.89
  • 24h price change: -1.77%
  • 7 days low: $ 3.49
  • 7 days high: $ 1 391
  • 7 days price change: 11.46%
  • 30 days low: $ 3.29
  • 30 days high: $ 1 391
  • 30 days price change: 18.24%
  • 90 days low: $ 3.29
  • 90 days high: $ 1 391
  • Year low: $ 2.76
  • Year high: $ 1 391
  • All time low: $ 2.76
  • All time high: $ 1 391
  • All time max offers: 207
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 6
  • Sales for last 7 days: 90
  • Sales for last 30 days: 324
  • Sales for last 90 days: 799
  • All time sales: 2245
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 1.1
  • Volatility: 20.94%
  • Liquidity: 27.7%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 4.23
  • Price forecast change in a month: 6.55%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 6.33
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 59.45%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 3.77
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 3.73
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 4.69
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 4.69
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 4.91
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.22
4.69%
Result
👍 Success
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 3.65
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.65
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 3.77
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 3.47
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 3.59
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 3.73
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 3.7
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.4
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.72
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 4.2
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 4.9
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 5.86
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 5.45
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 4.69
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 4.69
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 4.75
Action
🔥 Buy
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 4.91
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.22
4.69%
Result
👍 Success
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 3.65
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.65
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 3.68
Action
🔥 Buy
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.22
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 8.34
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
87%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
86%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
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UMP-45 | Fade
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UMP-45 | Fade
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Souvenir
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Minimal Wear
$ 80.69
46%
From last week
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From last month
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From last month
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UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
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Field-Tested
$ 55.16
42%
From last week
20 offers on 7 markets
4.9 6157
In a year 69%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Minimal Wear
$ 0.97
43%
From last month
38 offers on 4 markets

Description

The UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) is a versatile and deadly SMG, perfect for close-quarters combat. Its only drawback is its small magazine capacity. This custom paint job resembles an x-ray, revealing a detailed rib cage and all, for the purpose of letting the opponent know to empty their pockets of metal objects before engaging in battle.

History

History

The UMP-45 | Exposure was added to CS2 on September 14th, 2017, with the Spectrum 2 Case. It is a community-designed skin, and the work of a talented designer named "Seee." For buyers, its popularity was drawn in by a cool design and attention to detail of this Factory New skin.

Origin

Origin

The UMP-45 | Exposure has the StatTrak, Factory New. It is one of the very rare skins received when opening a container in CS2 named Spectrum 2 Case. This also comes from a highly restricted Spectrum 2 Collection, which gives this skin much more value and great demand among players.

Popularity

Popularity

The Skin StatTrak UMP-45 | Exposure is a Factory New skin, has a popularity of 85%. This skin is one of the most popular skins and is currently in the top 15% of the most popular items in CS2. The popularity of the skin is judged based on its daily sales volume and price in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The UMP-45 | Exposure skin belongs to the 237 other SMG skins existing in CS2. This skin is restricted, which means it's not the most common drop and can be dropped with an approximate chance of 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) is a rather cheap skin, as its price is in a range from $0.26 to $2.79, which makes it affordable for a broad range of players. This skin is also highly available on many markets, which allows purchasing it with ease. There are currently about 1 million units of the Exposure skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value for the UMP-45 | Exposure in Factory New condition ranges from 0.00 to 0.55, which means that the skin is available in all exteriors. More so, for each exterior variation, there is a StatTrak version of the UMP-45 | Exposure.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for StatTrak UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) is overwhelmingly positive in CS2, with an aggregate rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars based on more than 3.6K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further highlighted by the fact that renowned professional players olofmeister and nbk- also own this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

The Exposure skin in StatTrak UMP-45 Factory New has a "Custom Paint Job" style in CS2. From its name, Exposure gives an attractive and eye-catching finish with its mesmerizing tint of blue. Moreover, the pattern indexes do not affect the uniqueness of its finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 4.23 (6.55%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 6.33 (59.45%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.55
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players