StatTrak UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New)

4.7 2064 reviews
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Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 17.08
-12.28%
In a quarter
$ 29.02
+49.05%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
67% - Forecast accuracy
25% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
37 offers on 8 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
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from $ 30.07
Inspect skin
StatTrak UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth inspecting UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth reloading UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth holding UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth pose-1 UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth pose-2 UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 15.7
  • 7 days low: $ 15.7
  • 7 days high: $ 40.55
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 15.7
  • 30 days high: $ 112
  • 30 days price change: 0%
  • 90 days low: $ 13.58
  • 90 days high: $ 122
  • Year low: $ 9.75
  • Year high: $ 298
  • All time low: $ 9.75
  • All time high: $ 298
  • All time max offers: 56
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 5
  • Sales for last 7 days: 18
  • Sales for last 30 days: 51
  • Sales for last 90 days: 127
  • All time sales: 386
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 1.36
  • Volatility: 18.42%
  • Liquidity: 26.72%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 17.08
  • Price forecast change in a month: -12.28%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 29.02
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 49.05%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 14.05
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 15.69
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 15.69
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 15.98
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.29
1.85%
Result
👍 Success
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 15.19
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 14.87
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 14.87
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 16.79
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.92
12.91%
Result
👍 Success
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 18.88
Action
❌ Avoid
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 17.75
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 17.75
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 19.43
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.68
9.46%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 25.61
Action
✋ Hold
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 19.43
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 19.43
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 14.05
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 15.69
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 15.69
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 15.98
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.29
1.85%
Result
👍 Success
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 15.19
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 15.17
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 14.87
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 14.87
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 16.79
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.92
12.91%
Result
👍 Success
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 18.88
Action
❌ Avoid
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 18.12
Action
❌ Avoid
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 19.9
Action
❌ Avoid
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 19.09
Action
❌ Avoid
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 17.75
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 17.75
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 19.43
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.68
9.46%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 25.61
Action
✋ Hold
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 19.43
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 19.43
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 16
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 3.89
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 67.74
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
4
Sell count
3
Success count
3
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
25%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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$ 55.14
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From last week
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Description

History

History

The UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth was released on December 3rd, 2020, during the "Operation Broken Fang" update, as part of the Operation Broken Fang Case. This beautiful skin, designed by community designer G-99Factory, became a highly desirable addition to collectors and players' inventories almost instantly.

Origin

Origin

This is a well-crafted StatTrak UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth Factory New, which was introduced into the universe of Counter-Strike: Global Offensive through the container Operation Broken Fang Case, giving a chance to get this very rare and highly desired skin. Being a prized possession, it proudly constitutes part of the very exclusive Operation Broken Fang Collection due to its unique design and exceptional quality.

Popularity

Popularity

The UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) is currently above average in popularity in CS2, which sits at 85%. Its steady sales volume and favorable price make it one of the top 15% most wanted items in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth Factory New is one of 237 other SMG skins existing in CS2. However, its rarity is Restricted, which makes it a pretty rare drop, with an estimated drop chance of 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) is a rather inexpensive skin, which costs from $1.49 to $7.89, which makes it quite affordable to most players. At the moment, this is one of the most available skins on several markets - there is more than 292.7K units of this skin in open CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth skin is available in all CS2 exteriors, ranging from 0.00 to 0.70 floats. Of course, each of these skins has a StatTrak version, which will enable owners to track the kill count with this amazing gold-and-bismuth beauty.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for the StatTrak UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) in CS2 is very positive; its average rating, for instance, is as high as 4.7 out of 5 stars with over 1.9K votes on addskins.gg. It is also popular among such great professional CS2 players as kennys, spiidi, and stewie2k.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New StatTrak UMP-45 features a fabulous "Gunsmith" skin, where the enchanting patterns of patina and custom paints combine to present a glistening golden color reminiscent of bismuth. The appearance of the Gold Bismuth has been made identical whatever the pattern index may be for this sub-machine gun.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 17.08 (-12.28%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 29.02 (49.05%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.7
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.