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3 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth was added to CS2 on December 3rd, 2020, and it was one of the highly regarded skins from Operation Broken Fang Case. This is an eye-catching design crafted by the talented community designer G-99Factory, which quickly made it into the top selection as a preferred choice with the players wanting to give their armory a notch above the rest in style and taste.
The StatTrak UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Well-Worn) was presented to the CS2 community through the Operation Broken Fang Case, a container that players could open to potentially obtain this extremely rare and striking skin. It is one of the highly valued items in the Operation Broken Fang Collection, adding a touch of elegance and uniqueness to the UMP-45 weapon.
The skin of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Well-Worn) enjoys extremely high popularity within the CS2 community, being in the top 15% of most popular skins with 85%. This grade is based on the analysis of the real volume of skin sales every day and the value of its market price, which demonstrates demand and popularity among players.
The UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Well-Worn) is a skin from 237 other SMG skins existing in CS2. This skin belongs to the Restricted rarity and is pretty rare - the drop chance is estimated at 15.98%.
The well-worn skin UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth from CS2 is relatively cheap, starting from $1.49 up to $7.89, which is rather easily accessible because this skin can be found on various markets and therefore is available for sale on demand. Moreover, the total amount of the Gold Bismuth UMP-45 skin in public CS2 inventories currently constitutes 292.7K units.
The float value of this skin in CS2 can range from 0.00 to 0.70, so for every exterior condition, a player could get this skin. Each of these exterior conditions also has a StatTrak variant, which features a kill-tracking system for kills obtained with the Gold Bismuth UMP-45.
The community attitude towards the skin StatTrak UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Well-Worn) in CS2 is extremely positive, with a high average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars based on over 1.9K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further reinforced by its ownership among renowned professional players such as kennys, spiidi, and stewie2k.
The StatTrak UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Well-Worn) features a masterly-applied "Gunsmith" finish, which interestingly includes the use of patina with custom paint forms. The pattern index does not affect the appearance of the Gold Bismuth finish, which introduces this battle-weary UMP-45 into royalty.
According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 5.46 (-13.2%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 5.95 (-5.41%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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