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7 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The UMP-45 | Moonrise Factory New shows a reliable, close-quarters performer, with compact dimensions and proven automatic fire. This stunning work of art starts off with a captivating view of the cityscape, merges into a marvelous purple-red evening sky, colored by a vibrant full moon, enlightening the paths to victory under the pole star.
The StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) was presented to the CS2 community on March 13th, 2019, with the release of the Prisma Case. This beauty was designed by the talented community designer MGBazz, and it quickly became popular among players due to its detailed, lunar-themed design and the added allure of StatTrak technology, making it a sought-after item in the CS2 market.
The StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) is one of the rarest skins in existence, opening a Prisma Case container earned in-game or purchased via an in-game store. This skin also belongs to the Prisma Collection, which is a set of elaborately crafted weapon skins that add flair and style to your arsenal in Counter-Strike: Global Offensive.
This is supported by the fact that StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) has reached an incredible 90% popularity mark, making it one of the most in-demand skins in CS2. Popularity is measured through the volume of sales for the skin each day and the current market value for this particular skin.
The UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) forms part of the 237 available SMG skin in CS2. With its Restricted nature, it's rather rare as an item coming from this wide skin group. It bears an estimated chance to drop -- 15.98%.
The skin of CS2 StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise is very cheap, having an average price between $0.21-$2.24. Secondly, this skin is highly available because it's present in several markets, and it is quite easy for any player to get their hands on it. There are 705.4K units of the Moonrise skin present in public CS2 inventories, making this skin pretty common.
The float value for a StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise in Factory New condition ranges between 0.00 and 0.40, meaning the players will be enjoying a pretty neat skin with an improved kill tracking. This skin is available in various exterior versions, such as Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, and Well-Worn.
The community sentiment for StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) in CS2 is extremely positive, with a very high average rating of 5.0 out of 5 stars, based on more than 2.7K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further emphasized by the fact that this skin is owned by the most famous professional players, s1mple and dupreeh.
The StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) has a "Anodized Airbrushed" finish with a candy coat applied by masterful freehand airbrushing. The predominant color of this skin is an attractive purple tint. The pattern index affects the appearance of the skin, which makes for a very interesting and attractive look.
According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 3.41 (3.96%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 4.32 (31.71%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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