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8 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The UMP-45 | Moonrise is considered the underdog in the SMG family. This weapon is presented for tight situations with a somewhat limited magazine capacity. Drawing inspiration from an urban environment, this design shifts seamlessly from a busy cityscape at night, large full moon, and a beautiful purple-to-red gradient helping the user's eye travel up towards the North Star.
The UMP-45 | Moonrise entered the battlefields of CS2 virtually on March 13th, 2019, when it was released along with the Prisma Case during the "Seeing the Light" update. This stunning piece, designed by the brilliant community designer MGBazz, quickly showed up in many players' arms as something out of this world.
The StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise, Field-Tested, can be obtained by opening a Prisma Case container, which is one of the most popular ways to get unique CS2 weapon skins. This skin also belongs to the very exclusive Prisma Collection, which includes a wide variety of visually stunning and highly demanded weapon finishes.
The StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise Field-Tested boasts a popularity rating of 90%, making it one of the most sought-after skins among CS2 players. Its demand can be reflected in its always high sales volume per day and the price that it commands in the market, placing it among the most wanted items in the game.
The UMP-45 | Moonrise is a relatively rare drop and one of 237 other SMG skins in CS2. This skin belongs to the Restricted class, which makes it pretty rare. The skin's drop chance estimate is 15.98%.
Given the fact that this is one of the less expensive skins in CS2, prices range from $0.21-$2.24 for StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise Field-Tested. Due to its popularity, this skin finish can be widely bought and sold on many markets, and today there are 705.4K units of this skin floating around public CS2 inventories.
The float value of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise (Field-Tested) in CS2 ranges from 0.00 to 0.40, enabling players to get the skin in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, and Well-Worn states. There is also a StatTrak variant for each exterior condition, so collectors and players can choose to track their kills with this lunar-themed weapon.
The community sentiment towards the StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise Field-Tested in CS2 is extremely good, with an average of 5.0 out of 5 stars, from over 2.7K votes on addskins.gg. This skin further gets its popularity from professional CS2 players s1mple and dupreeh owning it.
For the StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise, the "Field-Tested" version shows an "Anodized Airbrushed"-style appearance, which totally embodies what candy coating would look like with freehand airbrushing art. The purple tint of this skin is amazingly complemented by the unique pattern index of the Moonrise finish, making it really striking and unique.
According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise (Field-Tested) is expected fall down to $ 0.56 (-42.15%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.72 (-25.62%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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