StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear)

5.0 2875 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.11
+8.73%
Last month
$ 0.4
+41.24%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1.49
+8.76%
In a quarter
$ 1.7
+24.09%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
92% - Forecast accuracy
75% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
229 offers on 8 markets
Updated4 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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from $ 1.95
Waxpeer
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3 offers
from $ 2.02
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66 offers
from $ 2.07
Inspect skin
StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Moonrise inspecting UMP-45 | Moonrise reloading UMP-45 | Moonrise holding UMP-45 | Moonrise pose-1 UMP-45 | Moonrise pose-2 UMP-45 | Moonrise pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1.37
  • 24h price change: 8.73%
  • 7 days low: $ 1.26
  • 7 days high: $ 35.7
  • 7 days price change: 8.73%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.97
  • 30 days high: $ 35.96
  • 30 days price change: 41.24%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.97
  • 90 days high: $ 78.31
  • Year low: $ 0.92
  • Year high: $ 78.31
  • All time low: $ 0.92
  • All time high: $ 78.31
  • All time max offers: 328
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 34
  • Sales for last 7 days: 204
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1005
  • Sales for last 90 days: 2236
  • All time sales: 7112
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: -0.1059
  • Volatility: 10.76%
  • Liquidity: 25.49%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1.49
  • Price forecast change in a month: 8.76%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1.7
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 24.09%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1.15
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.02
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 1.38
Action
📉 Sell
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 1.34
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.3
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.45
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.52
Action
✋ Hold
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 1.38
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 1.29
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.29
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.7
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.41
31.78%
Result
👍 Success
November 2, 2025
Price
$ 1.15
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.02
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 1.09
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 1.38
Action
📉 Sell
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 1.34
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.3
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.45
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.52
Action
✋ Hold
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 1.38
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 1.26
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 1.4
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 1.43
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.29
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.29
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.3
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.16
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 1.7
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.41
31.78%
Result
👍 Success
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.41
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 1.29
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
92%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
75%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The UMP-45 | Moonrise is an underestimated submachine gun, which is great for close combat, with the only drawback being its small magazine capacity. This skin is designed with a dynamic cityscape in the foreground, gradating into a starry purple-red night sky illuminated by a bright full moon, while the North Star guides the way.

History

History

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear) first appeared in the Counter-Strike: Global Offensive community on March 13th, 2019, simultaneously with the Prisma Case release, which added new weapon skins to the game. The skin was designed by the talented community artist "MGBazz." Due to its impressive lunar-themed design and the additional bonus of having StatTrak technology, enabling players to track their kills in style, it quickly gained popularity.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise Minimal Wear was offered to the CS2 community in the Prisma Case, opening it with some luck. This skin comes under the category of the Prisma Collection. The Prisma Collection has various aesthetic finishes on a weapon, which can be collected and further used in this game.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise went ahead to get the high and highly remarkable rate of 90% popularity in CS2. It is pretty evident from its volume in sales every day, added to its very high selling price, that this skin is among the most wanted in-game items.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear) is one of 237 other SMG skins in CS2, making it a relatively uncommon find. The Moonrise skin has a rarity classification of Restricted, and an estimated drop chance of 15.98%, further adding to its rarity.

Availability

Availability

The UMP-45 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear) is a relatively cheap skin, starting at $0.21 and reaching as high as $2.24. To purchase this skin, it is widely available in multiple markets, and currently, there are 705.4K units of the Moonrise in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the UMP-45 | Moonrise in Minimal Wear condition ranges from 0.07 to 0.15, which gives the skin a slightly worn look and minor scratches or wear marks. This version of the skin is available in both regular and StatTrak variants, adding a tracking feature to keep count of kills made with the weapon.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

For example, such a skin is StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear), which, having more than 2.7K votes on addskins.gg, has received a cool 5.0-star rating, meaning that this skin is really cool and has extremely positive community sentiment within CS2. Proof of popularity could be that this skin is used by such popular pro players as s1mple and dupreeh.

Finish style

Finish style

This StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise features a truly dazzling "Anodized Airbrushed" style, reminiscent of hand-painted candy coating. Dominated by purple and purple hues, this skin is simply captivating and very seductive. The details of the Moonrise finish are different with each pattern index, which makes each skin unique.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 1.49 (8.76%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 1.7 (24.09%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.4
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players