StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise (Well-Worn)

5.0 2899 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.1
+8.13%
Last month
$ 0.12
+9.92%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1.25
-32.36%
In a quarter
$ 1.08
-41.56%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
40% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
49 offers on 6 markets
Updated4 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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White.Market
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from $ 2.52
CSGO.COM
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6 offers
from $ 4
ShadowPay
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3 offers
from $ 4.62
Inspect skin
StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise (Well-Worn)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Moonrise inspecting UMP-45 | Moonrise reloading UMP-45 | Moonrise holding UMP-45 | Moonrise pose-1 UMP-45 | Moonrise pose-2 UMP-45 | Moonrise pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1.33
  • 7 days low: $ 1.23
  • 7 days high: $ 19.81
  • 7 days price change: 8.13%
  • 30 days low: $ 1.21
  • 30 days high: $ 19.81
  • 30 days price change: 9.92%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.97
  • 90 days high: $ 19.81
  • Year low: $ 0.79
  • Year high: $ 19.81
  • All time low: $ 0.79
  • All time high: $ 19.81
  • All time max offers: 136
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 26
  • Sales for last 30 days: 120
  • Sales for last 90 days: 272
  • All time sales: 738
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: -0.2652
  • Volatility: 22.33%
  • Liquidity: 21.73%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1.25
  • Price forecast change in a month: -32.36%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1.08
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -41.56%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1.64
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.09
Action
📉 Sell
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 1.23
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.42
Action
📉 Sell
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.31
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 1.64
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.66
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 1.34
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 1.09
Action
📉 Sell
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 1.24
Action
📉 Sell
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.23
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.23
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.25
Action
❌ Avoid
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 1.25
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 1.27
Action
❌ Avoid
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 1.15
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.97
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.42
Action
📉 Sell
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.41
Action
📉 Sell
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.31
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 1.85
Action
❌ Avoid
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
40%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

UMP-45 | Moonrise (Well-Worn) is a reliable SMG, holding its own in close combat, with only the somewhat small magazine size holding it back. The vibrant cityscape on this skin bleeds into a stunning night sky with a full moon, purple-red hues, and a guiding North Star.

History

History

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise (Well-Worn) was released under the 'Seeing the Light' update, along with the Prisma Case on March 13th, 2019. This charismatic skin was created by a very talented community designer named "MGBazz," and since then, it has become one of the most coveted skins from players.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise (Well-Worn) is one of the most sought-after skins that players can only get through the opening case of Prisma Case container skin, one of the most popular among CS2 players. This skin falls under the top-rated Prisma Collection, which reflects a very outstanding and eye-catching design - a beauty of moonrise.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise (Well-Worn) has a massive 90% popularity rating in the CS2 community, making it one of the most wanted items in the game. This is because the skin has an incredibly high daily sales volume and is highly valued in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise (Well-Worn) is one of only 237 other SMG skins in CS2. It falls under the Restricted rarity, which really means this skin is rather rare and has an estimated drop chance of 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The UMP-45 | Moonrise (Well-Worn) skin is pretty inexpensive and can be bought for $0.21-$2.24 depending on the market. It's also very accessible because it can be found on many markets with ease. For that reason, this skin is extremely popular among players. Currently, public CS2 inventories have around 705.4K units of the Moonrise skin.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise (Well-Worn) in CS2 ranges from 0.00 to 0.40, which means this skin can be acquired in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, and Well-Worn conditions. There is also a StatTrak variant for each exterior, giving collectors the chance to track their kills with this stunning skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for the StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise (Well-Worn) in CS2 is very positive, with 5.0 out of 5 stars and over 2.7K votes on addskins.gg. Moreover, it is included in the inventory of such famous professional players as s1mple and dupreeh.

Finish style

Finish style

This Skin StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise (Well-Worn) has a "Anodized Airbrushed" finish that was inspired by the art of freehand airbrushing to create a candy coat appearance. The dominant color of this skin is Purple. The unique feature that makes the skin, Moonrise, so unique is the pattern index on which it was applied; each skin is individually unique and a sight to see.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Moonrise (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 1.25 (-32.36%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 1.08 (-41.56%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.39
Max: 0.4
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

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