StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)

4.5 422 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ -0.07
-0.86%
Last month
$ 1.16
+16.74%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 5.93
-28.73%
In a quarter
$ 16.5
+98.32%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
75% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
348 offers on 8 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
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Inspect skin
StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir inspecting UMP-45 | Neo-Noir reloading UMP-45 | Neo-Noir holding UMP-45 | Neo-Noir pose-1 UMP-45 | Neo-Noir pose-2 UMP-45 | Neo-Noir pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 8.09
  • 24h price change: -0.86%
  • 7 days low: $ 8.16
  • 7 days high: $ 26.94
  • 7 days price change: -0.86%
  • 30 days low: $ 6.93
  • 30 days high: $ 48.96
  • 30 days price change: 16.74%
  • 90 days low: $ 5
  • 90 days high: $ 48.96
  • Year low: $ 4.84
  • Year high: $ 48.96
  • All time low: $ 4.84
  • All time high: $ 48.96
  • All time max offers: 383
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 5
  • Sales for last 7 days: 76
  • Sales for last 30 days: 390
  • Sales for last 90 days: 998
  • All time sales: 2275
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 0.4847
  • Volatility: 36.61%
  • Liquidity: 33.79%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 5.93
  • Price forecast change in a month: -28.73%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 16.5
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 98.32%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 5.97
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 5.4
Action
📉 Sell
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 5.76
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 8.87
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 8.87
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 9.6
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.73
8.23%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 5.97
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 6.25
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 5.97
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 5.38
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 5.4
Action
📉 Sell
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 5.76
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 5.29
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 6.01
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 6.01
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 7.66
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 8.52
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 8.51
Action
❌ Avoid
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 10.67
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 8.87
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 8.87
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 8.08
Action
🔥 Buy
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 9.6
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.73
8.23%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.73
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 8.87
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
75%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
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Description

Known as the underappreciated member of the SMG arsenal, the UMP-45 boasts versatility in close-quarters combat, hindered only by its limited magazine capacity. This particular StatTrak variant features a custom paint job showcasing a stylized blue-magenta woman against a grayscale backdrop, exuding a sense of determination with the inscription, "Blade in hand, she decided it was time to take a stand."

History

History

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) was added to CS2's inventory approximately 8 months ago, on September 15th, 2024. It became available through the Operation Vanguard case, marking its debut in the game. The skin's design was crafted by the talented community artist known as "Spectra".

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) was first introduced as a rare drop in the Gallery Case container. This skin is a prized item from The Gallery Collection, coveted by CS2 players for its unique design and tracking feature.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) is highly sought after in CS2, boasting a popularity rating of 95% due to its frequent sales and high market value. Its widespread appeal makes it a top choice among players looking to enhance their gameplay experience with a stylish and functional skin.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) is one of 278 different UMP-45 skins available in CS2. Its rarity is Classified, making it a highly sought-after drop with an estimated chance of only 3.2% to obtain.

Availability

Availability

Priced between $3.36 and $27.78, the StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir in Battle-Scarred condition offers an economical option for players. This skin is readily accessible across various markets, ensuring easy acquisition for those looking to enhance their CS:GO experience.

Versions

Versions

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir in Battle-Scarred condition for CS2 features a float value between 0.45 and 0.60, showcasing significant wear and tear on the skin. Despite its battle-scarred appearance, the StatTrak feature adds a tracking mechanism to record kills, enhancing its desirability among collectors and players.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for the StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) in CS2 is overwhelmingly positive, with a high volume of votes on various skin rating platforms averaging at 4.7 out of 5 stars. Additionally, it is a popular choice among professional CS2 players such as fnx, jerry, and norwi, further solidifying its reputation as a sought-after skin.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) features a distressed finish style reminiscent of urban decay, enhancing its gritty appearance. The patina and custom paint techniques create a unique blend of colors, primarily showcasing shades of purple and pink, giving it a worn yet striking aesthetic.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) is expected fall down to $ 5.93 (-28.73%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 16.5 (98.32%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.72
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players