StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)

4.5 422 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.32
+0.64%
Last month
$ 6.96
+15.96%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 60.52
+17.29%
In a quarter
$ 107
+107.0%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
72% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
69 offers on 9 markets
Updated1 minute ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir inspecting UMP-45 | Neo-Noir reloading UMP-45 | Neo-Noir holding UMP-45 | Neo-Noir pose-1 UMP-45 | Neo-Noir pose-2 UMP-45 | Neo-Noir pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 50.57
  • 7 days low: $ 50.25
  • 7 days high: $ 126
  • 7 days price change: 0.64%
  • 30 days low: $ 43.61
  • 30 days high: $ 601
  • 30 days price change: 15.96%
  • 90 days low: $ 38.63
  • 90 days high: $ 601
  • Year low: $ 28.26
  • Year high: $ 5 554
  • All time low: $ 28.26
  • All time high: $ 5 554
  • All time max offers: 97
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 3
  • Sales for last 7 days: 12
  • Sales for last 30 days: 58
  • Sales for last 90 days: 152
  • All time sales: 385
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 0.96
  • Volatility: 25.71%
  • Liquidity: 25.35%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 60.52
  • Price forecast change in a month: 17.29%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 107
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 107.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 31.76
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 42.37
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 42.37
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 48.49
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 6.12
14.44%
Result
👍 Success
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 46.33
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 46.33
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 49.03
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 2.7
5.83%
Result
👍 Success
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 54.81
Action
❌ Avoid
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 63.75
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 63.75
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 31.76
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 32.37
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 33.34
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 37.99
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 42.37
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 42.37
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 43.33
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 38.63
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 48.49
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 6.12
14.44%
Result
👍 Success
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 46.33
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 46.33
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 49.03
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 2.7
5.83%
Result
👍 Success
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 54.81
Action
❌ Avoid
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 63.75
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 63.75
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 70.5
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 59.03
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 59.21
Action
🔥 Buy
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 58.03
Action
🔥 Buy
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 58.81
Action
🔥 Buy
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 8.82
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 152
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
3
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
72%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
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Description

Known as the underappreciated workhorse of the SMG category, the UMP-45 boasts exceptional close-quarters combat capabilities with its reliable accuracy and moderate damage output. Its sleek Factory New finish features a custom paint job depicting a stylized blue-magenta woman against a grayscale backdrop, adding a touch of sophistication to its utilitarian design.

History

History

The UMP-45 | Neo-Noir made its debut in CS2 on October 2nd, 2024, as part of the Gallery Case during "The Armory" update. The skin was crafted by the talented community designer known as "Blazer" and has since become a sought-after choice for players seeking a battle-scarred aesthetic.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) was first introduced as part of the Gallery Collection. Players can acquire this skin by unboxing a Gallery Case container in CS2.

Popularity

Popularity

With a popularity of 85%, the StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir in Factory New condition is highly sought after, making it a top choice among CS2 players. This popularity is determined by analyzing its daily sales volume and market value, solidifying its status as a coveted skin in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) is one of only 278 SMG skins in the StatTrak quality tier. Classified as a rare drop with an estimated chance of only 3.2%, obtaining this specific skin in Factory New condition with the StatTrak feature adds to its scarcity and desirability among CS2 players.

Availability

Availability

Priced at around $25.00 to $35.00, the StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir in Factory New condition offers a mid-range option for collectors. This skin is readily accessible on various online marketplaces, ensuring easy availability for CS2 players looking to add it to their inventory.

Versions

Versions

The UMP-45 | Neo-Noir in Factory New condition boasts a sleek design with intricate details and vibrant colors, making it a highly sought-after skin in CS2. Players can also opt for the StatTrak version of the Neo-Noir in Factory New condition to track their kills and showcase their prowess in-game.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir in Factory New condition has garnered significant praise within the CS2 community, boasting an impressive average rating of 4.6 out of 5 stars from over 550 votes on addskins.gg. This sought-after skin is proudly displayed in the inventories of renowned CS2 players such as fnx, jerry, and norwi, further solidifying its popularity and desirability among enthusiasts.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) features a sleek and modern finish style known as "Neo-Noir." The skin is adorned with a vibrant color scheme of purple and pink, creating a visually striking appearance that stands out on the battlefield. Different pattern indexes do not impact the Neo-Noir finish, and the skin is designed to showcase the updated CS2 model in all its glory.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 60.52 (17.29%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 107 (107.0%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players