StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)

4.5 422 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 2.29
+11.61%
Last month
$ 4.1
+22.88%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 20.3
-8.46%
In a quarter
$ 38.12
+71.91%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
84% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
122 offers on 10 markets
Updated5 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir inspecting UMP-45 | Neo-Noir reloading UMP-45 | Neo-Noir holding UMP-45 | Neo-Noir pose-1 UMP-45 | Neo-Noir pose-2 UMP-45 | Neo-Noir pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 22.02
  • 24h price change: 10.21%
  • 7 days low: $ 19.73
  • 7 days high: $ 62.71
  • 7 days price change: 11.61%
  • 30 days low: $ 17.92
  • 30 days high: $ 246
  • 30 days price change: 22.88%
  • 90 days low: $ 17.21
  • 90 days high: $ 246
  • Year low: $ 14.66
  • Year high: $ 2 862
  • All time low: $ 14.66
  • All time high: $ 2 862
  • All time max offers: 149
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 12
  • Sales for last 7 days: 82
  • Sales for last 30 days: 260
  • Sales for last 90 days: 674
  • All time sales: 1739
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 0.4754
  • Volatility: 25.48%
  • Liquidity: 37.9%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 20.3
  • Price forecast change in a month: -8.46%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 38.12
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 71.91%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 17.99
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 17.97
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 15.95
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 16.57
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 16.57
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 18.7
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 2.13
12.85%
Result
👍 Success
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 18.21
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 18.21
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 26.69
Action
✋ Hold
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 22.31
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 25.84
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 7.63
41.90%
Result
👍 Success
November 1, 2025
Price
$ 17.99
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 17.97
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 15.95
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 18
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 16.57
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 16.57
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 18
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 18
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 18.7
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 2.13
12.85%
Result
👍 Success
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 18.21
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 18.21
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 26.69
Action
✋ Hold
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 22.31
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 22.33
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 23.47
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 27.78
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 20.37
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 17.92
Action
🔥 Buy
October 31, 2025
Price
$ 25.84
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 7.63
41.90%
Result
👍 Success
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 9.76
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 34.78
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
84%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
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Description

Known as the versatile underdog in the SMG category, the UMP-45 boasts close-quarters automatic firepower with its only downside being its limited magazine capacity. Its custom paint job features a stylized blue-magenta woman against a grayscale backdrop, with the inscription "Blade in hand, she decided it was time to take a stand."

History

History

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) was added to CS2's inventory 6 months ago, on November 15th, 2024. It was included in the Operation Vanguard Case, coinciding with the "Underworld" update. The skin's design was crafted by the community artist known as "Specter".

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) was introduced as a rare drop in the Gallery Case container. This skin is a prized addition to The Gallery Collection, sought after by collectors and players alike for its sleek design and limited availability.

Popularity

Popularity

With a popularity of 95%, the StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir in Minimal Wear condition is highly sought after in the CS2 community, making it one of the top choices among players. This level of popularity is determined by analyzing the skin's daily sales volume and its market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir in Minimal Wear condition is one of the rarest skins for this SMG. With only 278 other SMG skins in its category, the Classified rarity of the Neo-Noir makes it an extremely sought-after drop, estimated to have a drop chance of just 3.2%.

Availability

Availability

Priced between $13.00 and $40.00, the StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir in Minimal Wear condition offers a mid-range option for collectors. This skin is readily accessible across various online platforms, making it easy for players to acquire and add to their inventory in Counter-Strike: Global Offensive.

Versions

Versions

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir in Minimal Wear condition features a float value between 0.07 and 0.15, showcasing minimal wear with slight scratches and abrasions. This version of the skin is available in all exteriors, offering StatTrak functionality to collectors and players alike.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir in Minimal Wear condition has garnered a positive community sentiment with over 500 votes on addskins.gg, resulting in an impressive average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars. This sleek skin is a popular choice among professional CS2 players such as fnx, jerry, and norwi, further solidifying its appeal within the gaming community.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) features a sleek and modern finish style known as Neo-Noir, which incorporates a blend of patina and customized paint techniques. The skin showcases a vibrant color palette of purple and pink, with pattern indexes having no impact on the distinct Neo-Noir design, all presented on the updated CS2 model.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 20.3 (-8.46%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 38.12 (71.91%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.11
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players