StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn)

4.5 422 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.7
+26.07%
Last month
$ 1.7
+26.07%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 6.55
-21.84%
In a quarter
$ 13.99
+66.95%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
40% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
86 offers on 7 markets
Updated4 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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from $ 9.1
CSGO.COM
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19 offers
from $ 9.15
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9 offers
from $ 9.72
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1 offers
from $ 13.68
Inspect skin
StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir inspecting UMP-45 | Neo-Noir reloading UMP-45 | Neo-Noir holding UMP-45 | Neo-Noir pose-1 UMP-45 | Neo-Noir pose-2 UMP-45 | Neo-Noir pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 8.22
  • 7 days low: $ 6.52
  • 7 days high: $ 14.56
  • 7 days price change: 26.07%
  • 30 days low: $ 6.52
  • 30 days high: $ 45.91
  • 30 days price change: 26.07%
  • 90 days low: $ 5.55
  • 90 days high: $ 17 856
  • Year low: $ 5.35
  • Year high: $ 17 856
  • All time low: $ 5.35
  • All time high: $ 17 856
  • All time max offers: 333
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 22
  • Sales for last 7 days: 122
  • Sales for last 30 days: 407
  • Sales for last 90 days: 930
  • All time sales: 2161
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 0.68
  • Volatility: 18.9%
  • Liquidity: 33.44%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 6.55
  • Price forecast change in a month: -21.84%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 13.99
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 66.95%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 7.28
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 6.94
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 6.17
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 5.93
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 5.57
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 6.15
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 6.54
Action
❌ Avoid
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 7.39
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 7.39
October 8, 2025
Price
$ 7.28
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 6.94
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 6.49
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 6.17
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 5.93
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 5.57
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 6.15
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 6.54
Action
❌ Avoid
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 6.53
Action
❌ Avoid
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 7.29
Action
❌ Avoid
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 6.44
Action
❌ Avoid
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 7.72
Action
❌ Avoid
September 30, 2025
Price
$ 7.39
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 7.39
October 8, 2025
Price
$ 8.28
Action
🔥 Buy
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 8.35
Action
🔥 Buy
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 8.68
Action
🔥 Buy
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 8.93
Action
🔥 Buy
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 10.61
Action
🔥 Buy
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 7.39
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
18
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 18 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
40%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

The UMP-45, often overshadowed by its counterparts, boasts exceptional close-quarters combat capabilities despite its limited magazine capacity. Its Neo-Noir skin features a striking blue-magenta woman with a blade in hand, exuding a sense of determination and defiance against a grayscale backdrop.

History

History

The UMP-45 | Neo-Noir made its debut in CS2 on October 2nd, 2024, as part of the Gallery Case during "The Armory" update. The skin was crafted by the talented community designer known as "Blazer" and has since become a sought-after choice for players seeking a battle-scarred aesthetic.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) for CS2 was first introduced in the Gallery Case container. This skin is a part of the exclusive Gallery Collection, making it a sought-after item among players.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) is highly sought after, boasting a popularity rating of 90% in the CS2 community. This skin's desirability is reflected in its consistent demand and stable market value.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) is one of only 37 StatTrak UMP-45 skins available in CS2. With a rarity classification of Restricted, this particular Neo-Noir skin is considered quite rare, boasting an estimated drop chance of just 2.1%.

Availability

Availability

Priced between $3.36 and $27.78, the StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir in Well-Worn condition offers an affordable option for CS:GO players. This sought-after skin is readily accessible across various marketplaces, ensuring easy purchase for interested buyers.

Versions

Versions

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir in Well-Worn condition features a float value between 0.38 to 0.45, giving it a worn appearance with noticeable scratches and wear. Despite its wear, this skin retains its unique design elements, and StatTrak versions are available for all exteriors, allowing players to track their kills in style.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) has garnered significant community attention with over 500 votes on addskins.gg, resulting in an impressive average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars. This sought-after skin is proudly wielded by renowned CS2 players such as kennyS, s1mple, and Stewie2k, further cementing its popularity among the gaming community.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) features a distinct "Gunsmith" finish with a Neo-Noir design that combines patina and custom paint styles. The skin showcases a vibrant color scheme of purple and pink, with pattern indexes having no impact on the unique finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 6.55 (-21.84%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 13.99 (66.95%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.41
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players