StatTrak UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New)

4.7 5023 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 3.54
+14.15%
Last month
$ 7.02
+32.61%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 23.82
-16.33%
In a quarter
$ 39.95
+40.32%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
77% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
47 offers on 9 markets
Updated4 minutes ago
Marketplace
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from $ 50.56
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Inspect skin
StatTrak UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Primal Saber inspecting UMP-45 | Primal Saber reloading UMP-45 | Primal Saber holding UMP-45 | Primal Saber pose-1 UMP-45 | Primal Saber pose-2 UMP-45 | Primal Saber pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 28.55
  • 24h price change: 0.281%
  • 7 days low: $ 25.01
  • 7 days high: $ 503
  • 7 days price change: 14.15%
  • 30 days low: $ 21.53
  • 30 days high: $ 507
  • 30 days price change: 32.61%
  • 90 days low: $ 21.1
  • 90 days high: $ 510
  • Year low: $ 17.4
  • Year high: $ 3 759
  • All time low: $ 17.4
  • All time high: $ 3 759
  • All time max offers: 112
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 15
  • Sales for last 30 days: 60
  • Sales for last 90 days: 125
  • All time sales: 352
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.61
  • Volatility: 17.41%
  • Liquidity: 17.65%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 23.82
  • Price forecast change in a month: -16.33%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 39.95
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 40.32%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 24.5
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 21.1
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 21.1
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 25.76
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 4.66
22.09%
Result
👍 Success
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 29.63
Action
✋ Hold
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 25.96
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 25.47
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 25.47
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 33.5
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 8.03
31.52%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 33.5
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 29.38
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 29.38
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 24.5
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 22.73
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 22.22
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 23.86
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 23.86
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 23.75
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 23.83
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 21.1
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 21.1
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 25.76
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 4.66
22.09%
Result
👍 Success
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 29.63
Action
✋ Hold
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 25.96
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 25.47
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 25.47
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 33.5
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 8.03
31.52%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 33.5
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 29.38
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 29.38
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 28.47
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 12.69
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 75.95
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
77%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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UMP-45 | Fade
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From last week
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UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
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Souvenir
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$ 55.15
42%
From last week
20 offers on 7 markets
4.9 6157
In a year 69%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
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Description

UMP-45 | Primal Saber This SMG is very adaptive, but with a rather low magazine capacity, it often finds itself in the middle of close combat battles. The Primal Saber features an aggressive Sabertooth tiger skull, one which reminds its opponents that apex predators can fall too.

History

History

The UMP-45 | Primal Saber was introduced into CS2 on April 27th, 2016, when it was released as part of the Chroma 3 Case during the "Trichromacy" update. This striking skin was designed by the incredibly talented community designer, ClegFX, and swiftly proved to be one of the most popular skins in the game.

Origin

Origin

The UMP-45 | Primal Saber is a Factory New StatTrak skin, very rare; this skin can be opened through the Chroma 3 Case container. This skin is an exclusive inclusion of The Chroma 3 Collection, adding primal fierceness to the UMP-45.

Popularity

Popularity

The UMP-45 | Primal Saber (StatTrak Factory New) increased its popularity, while a whopping 90% of the players try to have it. Owing to huge sales volume daily and huge pricing, this skin's demand has given a boost to high sales volume every day, which is why this item is in demand like any other in CS: GO.

Rarity

Rarity

This skin belongs to the UMP-45 skin family, and it has 'Classified' rarity, which makes the UMP-45 | Primal Saber Factory New skin highly rare due to an estimated drop chance of only 3.2%, while being one out of 237 available skins for SMGs in CS2.

Availability

Availability

The price of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Primal Saber Factory New skin ranges from $1.37 to $21.84, which is pretty affordable for CS2 players. Currently, it's available in many markets, so it's not a problem to get this skin if someone wants to. Besides, 357.6K units of the Primal Saber skin are currently in public CS2 inventories, which means this skin is rather popular among players.

Versions

Versions

The UMP-45 | Primal Saber is available in all exteriors in CS2 and floats from 0.00 to 0.77. On top of the standard Primal Saber varieties, a StatTrak version is offered for each of the UMP-45 exterior options, which will add kill tracking capabilities to this weapon skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the StatTrak UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) in CS2 is very positive, with over 5K votes on addskins.gg, which gave it an impressive average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars. Its popularity extends to professional players like coldzera, s1mple, and adren, who are proud owners of this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

The skin StatTrak UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) in CS2 has a custom paint job style that allows for a wide range of color customization. The dominant color of this skin is a vibrant cyan tint, and regardless of pattern indexes, the Primal Saber finish remains unaffected.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 23.82 (-16.33%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 39.95 (40.32%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.77
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.