StatTrak UMP-45 | Riot (Battle-Scarred)

4.5 2539 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.272
+18.26%
In a quarter
$ 0.243
+5.74%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
80% - Forecast accuracy
80% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
98 offers on 8 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Skinport
Skinport
22 offers
from $ 0.23
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 0.346
Bitskins
Bitskins
5 offers
from $ 0.35
White.Market
White.Market
11 offers
from $ 0.36
Steam
Steam
47 offers
from $ 0.41
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 0.42
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
3 offers
from $ 0.84
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
8 offers
from $ 1.34
Inspect skin
StatTrak UMP-45 | Riot (Battle-Scarred)
Gallery
UMP-45 | Riot inspecting UMP-45 | Riot reloading UMP-45 | Riot holding UMP-45 | Riot pose-1 UMP-45 | Riot pose-2 UMP-45 | Riot pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.23
  • 7 days low: $ 0.23
  • 7 days high: $ 262
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.23
  • 30 days high: $ 264
  • 30 days price change: 0%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.22
  • 90 days high: $ 265
  • Year low: $ 0.14
  • Year high: $ 265
  • All time low: $ 0.14
  • All time high: $ 265
  • All time max offers: 353
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 9
  • Sales for last 7 days: 40
  • Sales for last 30 days: 188
  • Sales for last 90 days: 524
  • All time sales: 1352
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.1329
  • Volatility: 26.73%
  • Liquidity: 21.73%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.272
  • Price forecast change in a month: 18.26%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.243
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 5.74%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Riot (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.25
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.29
Action
📉 Sell
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.3
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.25
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 0.24
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 0.24
Action
✋ Hold
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 0.22
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.26
Action
✋ Hold
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.29
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.25
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.29
Action
📉 Sell
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.3
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.276
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.28
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.27
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.27
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.27
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 0.25
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 0.24
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 0.24
Action
✋ Hold
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 0.22
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.26
Action
✋ Hold
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.29
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.24
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.23
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
80%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
80%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2315
3925
3120
12581
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 25/100
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 1.0
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 230
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.6 4080
In a year 170%
UMP-45 | Blaze
Mil-Spec Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Blaze
Factory New
$ 84.54
55%
From last month
19 offers on 6 markets
$ 0.02
100%
From last month
1629 offers on 5 markets
$ 0.04
60%
From last month
345 offers on 5 markets
4.8 561114
In half a year -51%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Factory New
$ 52.27
128%
From last month
294 offers on 10 markets
4.8 561065
In half a year -32%
UMP-45 | Fade
Classified
Souvenir
UMP-45
Fade
Minimal Wear
$ 68
46%
From last week
10 offers on 3 markets
$ 3.78
38%
From last month
90 offers on 9 markets
$ 13.99
66%
From last month
26 offers on 8 markets
4.9 6190
In a year 213%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Field-Tested
$ 55.14
42%
From last week
19 offers on 7 markets
4.9 6157
In a year 69%
UMP-45 | Gunsmoke
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
Minimal Wear
$ 0.97
43%
From last month
134 offers on 6 markets

Description

The UMP-45 | Riot (Battle-Scarred) is a highly versatile SMG that unfortunately suffers from an extremely low magazine capacity, hindering its potential for sustained fire. This SMG's design features a mix of hydrographics and heat-transfer decals, serving as a reminder that precision in target selection is paramount to avoid unintended consequences.

History

History

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Riot, with its battle-scarred appearance, emerged in the Counter-Strike: Global Offensive scene on May 26th, 2015, when it was included in the Falchion Case during "The Hunter and the Hunted" update. This striking skin, crafted by the talented community designer "M1nD," quickly became a sought-after choice for players looking to make a statement on the battlefield.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Riot (Battle-Scarred) was presented to the CS2 community when the Falchion Case container was opened and gave a chance for players to get this skin. It belongs to The Falchion Collection, which gives the gun a realistic view with some marks of wear.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Riot (Battle-Scarred) has a very high demand in the CS2 community, with an impressive popularity rating of 85%. It is an extremely demanded skin since it holds its position in the top 15% of the most popular items within the game, which is determined by analyzing its day-to-day sales volume and market price.

Rarity

Rarity

This makes the StatTrak UMP-45 | Riot (Battle-Scarred) one of 237 different SMG skins in the game of CS2. The weapon class for this skin is categorized as Mil-Spec Grade, making this a rather common drop and estimated to have a drop chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

UMP-45 | Riot (Battle-Scarred) for CS2 is very affordable and can be purchased in a price range from $0.17 to $0.78. It is relatively easier to get the skin as it is available on several markets and, hence, quite easily accessible for the players to buy. There are also quite a reasonable number of 771.3K units of the Riot skin present in the public inventories of CS2.

Versions

Versions

The float range of the UMP-45 | Riot (Battle-Scarred) in CS2 is from 0.00 to 0.70, which means the skin has all the possible wear conditions. Furthermore, each wear condition of the Riot has its StatTrak variant.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Riot (Battle-Scarred) in CS2 is extremely positive, with an average rating of 4.5 stars out of 5 based on over 2.4K votes on addskins.gg. This sentiment is further reinforced by its popularity among professional players such as aizy, neo, and zeus.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak UMP-45 | Riot (Battle-Scarred) in CS2 has a custom paint job style with a Riot finish, making it highly customizable with a full spectrum of colors. The dominant color of this skin is a distinct green tint, while pattern variations do not alter the Riot finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Riot (Battle-Scarred) is expected grow to $ 0.272 (18.26%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 0.243 (5.74%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.57
Max: 0.7
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players