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2 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The UMP-45 | Riot is a versatile SMG with a little restricted magazine capacity, which turns it into a perfect choice for close combat. Its unique hydrographics and heat-transfer decals give it a unique appearance, while an inscription by Javier Alviso adds a touch of dark humor to its design.
The StatTrak UMP-45 | Riot first touched the virtual battlefields of CS2 on May 26th, 2015, accompanying the Falchion Case. This catchy skin was inspired by the talented community artist "M1nD" and soon found its place in demand among gamers as a way to make a statement with their rifle.
The StatTrak UMP-45 | Riot is a battle-scarred skin and is pulled from an opening Falchion Case container in exchange for a chance to get different weapon skins. It is also tagged in the Falchion Collection, adding a sense of rarity and prestige to owning this skin.
The StatTrak UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested) became extremely popular among the CS2 community and now holds a spot in the top 15% of the most widely sold items. Such an estimation is determined by a combination of high sales volume on a daily basis and market value of the skin.
The UMP-45 | Riot Field-Tested is classified as Mil-Spec Grade. The skin is widely available and is the most common drop with a calculated drop chance of 79.92% out of all 237 available SMG skins in CS2.
Priced from $0.17 to $0.78, the StatTrak UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested) is an extremely budget-friendly option to buy in CS2. Due to being listed in all markets and having 771.3K units of this skin present in public inventories, this highly popular skin is very easily available.
The float value of the UMP-45 | Riot ranges from 0.00 to 0.70, which means this skin is available in any condition. For each exterior, there is also a StatTrak available variant of the Riot, making it even more collectible.
The community sentiment for the StatTrak UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested) in CS2 is highly positive, as evidenced by its impressive 4.5 out of 5 stars rating on addskins.gg based on over 2.4K votes. Additionally, its popularity extends to professional players such as aizy, neo, and zeus, who all own this skin.
Field-Tested StatTrak UMP-45 | Riot sports a unique "Custom Paint Job" style. The Riot finish offers them a wide range of personalized looks, with different vibrant colors. The dominant color of this skin is an enticing green tint. The pattern indexes do not change the Riot finish in any way.
According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested) is expected fall down to $ 0.299 (-14.57%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 0.408 (16.69%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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