StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)

4.5 2657 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Latest price change
Last month
$ 79
+48.17%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 206
-20.13%
In a quarter
$ 242
-6.18%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
50% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
9 offers on 4 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Steam
Steam
5 offers
from $ 243
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
1 offers
from $ 257
Skinport
Skinport
2 offers
from $ 465
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
1 offers
from $ 659
Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred)
Gallery
★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 243
  • 7 days low: $ 243
  • 7 days high: $ 820
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 164
  • 30 days high: $ 826
  • 30 days price change: 48.17%
  • 90 days low: $ 164
  • 90 days high: $ 1 380
  • Year low: $ 164
  • Year high: $ 1 380
  • All time low: $ 164
  • All time high: $ 1 380
  • All time max offers: 54
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 13
  • Sales for last 90 days: 13
  • All time sales: 29
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 5, 2025
  • Risk: -0.57
  • Volatility: 9.68%
  • Liquidity: 4.49%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 206
  • Price forecast change in a month: -20.13%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 242
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -6.18%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 233
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 233
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 209
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 186
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 198
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 198
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 196
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 196
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 211
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 239
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 234
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 212
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 203
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 223
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 232
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 204
Action
❌ Avoid
October 28, 2025
Price
$ 270
Action
❌ Avoid
November 5, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
50%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 107
72%
From last month
92 offers on 9 markets
$ 105
52%
From last month
131 offers on 9 markets
$ 68.63
52%
From last month
205 offers on 10 markets
$ 130
77%
From last month
70 offers on 9 markets

Description

History

History

The ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) appeared in the CS2 community for the first time on August 1st, 2018, as a very popular knife skin released in the Danger Zone Case. Bright blue patterns on both the blade and handle captivated collectors and players in a very short period and turned this skin into the symbol of prestige and rarity in this game.

Origin

Origin

This StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened is a Battle-Scarred knife that was hauled out of a Danger Zone Case or Horizon Case container by the scorching heat, with the blade wearing a rugged appearance from numerous battles. Being unique apart from collections, this is a prize for a collector in search of truly rare and battle-worn blades.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) has a popularity rating of 90% within the CS2 community, making this skin one of the most wanted in the game. Such a high level of popularity is determined by both its daily sales volume and its consistently high price on the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) is one of the only 391 different Knife skins available in CS2. This skin has a Covert rarity classification and, being a Case Hardened skin, this is considered extremely rare; the estimated chance of pulling this specific version is at 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The price of the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) for CS2 stands in for the high class, which is from $160.33 to $515.97. At the same time, currently, this skin is rather available since it was possible to get it on a few markets, and approximately 5.3K units of Case Hardened are stored in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) ranges from 0.38 to 0.45, so it looks heavily worn with scratches and discoloration easily noticeable. Nevertheless, StatTrak versions of the knife are available even in this battle-scarred condition for collectors who want to track their kills with this iconic skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Community sentiment regarding the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) in CS2 is generally positive, and this is reflected in its high average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars, with over 2.6K votes on addskins.gg. Besides, the fact that professional CS2 player fang owns this skin further contributes to its positive reception among the community.

Finish style

Finish style

The reason it will stay beautiful is that this StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife wears its Battle-Scarred finish, with the wear most noticeable on the edge line at the blade and handle's leading edges. This color scheme of Case Hardened is really something quite special, as it changes between vibrant blues and purples depending on the given pattern index.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) is expected fall down to $ 206 (-20.13%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 242 (-6.18%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.72
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players