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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 18 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened was the first to appear in CS2 on August 1st, 2018, when the game got a new update adding this knife to the list of available knives in the game. This super-popular knife was first dropped as a rare item in the Danger Zone Case, released together with the "A New Horizon" update, which thrilled players with its awesome Case Hardened finish.
The StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) was presented to the CS2 community by opening Danger Zone Case or Horizon Case containers, giving players a chance to get this highly sought-after skin. Unlike some other skins, the Case Hardened variant of the ★ Ursus Knife does not belong to any collections, making it unique and exclusive in a player's inventory.
Currently, StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) enjoys a high demand and 90% popularity in the market. Due to its rarity and pattern, it is highly sought after, hence its popularity among the CS2 community. This is measured in terms of the volume of sales per day and the market price; hence, it is considered one of the most coveted items in the game.
The StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is a skin of one of the 391 knife skins available in CS2. It has a Covert rarity classification, making it an extremely rare drop and is estimated at only 0.26% chance to drop.
StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is a popular skin in CS2. The price for this skin ranges from $160.33 to $515.97, but despite the higher price, this skin is currently widely available and can be bought on several markets. In fact, 5.3K units of the Case Hardened in public CS2 inventories make it a pretty popular choice among collectors and players.
The StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) provides all the different exterior versions available for CS2, from floats ranging from 0.00 up to 1.00. This lets collectors and players find this iconic knife in any of the various wear conditions while also including a StatTrak version for added rarity and desire of this skin.
The community sentiment toward the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) in CS2 is extremely positive, having a 4.5-star rating out of 5 stars with over 2.6K votes on addskins.gg. On top of that, it is further reinforced by being owned by professional CS2 player fang.
The factory new condition of this StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife really shows off this beautiful case-hardened skin, blending blue and gold hues nicely. Highly affected by the pattern index, higher pattern indices will result in stronger colors and finer details of the design; no two knives are exactly alike.
According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 801 (-7.72%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 896 (3.23%). Confidence is low — it is advised to hold.


Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.