StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)

4.5 2681 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 106
+13.91%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 801
-7.72%
In a quarter
$ 896
+3.23%
Action
Decision:
✋ Hold
Confidence:
👎 Low
50% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
1 offers on 1 markets
Updated17 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 868
Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 868
  • 7 days low: $ 868
  • 7 days high: $ 868
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 762
  • 30 days high: $ 868
  • 30 days price change: 13.91%
  • 90 days low: $ 762
  • 90 days high: $ 868
  • Year low: $ 569
  • Year high: $ 868
  • All time low: $ 569
  • All time high: $ 868
  • All time max offers: 4
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 0
  • Sales for last 90 days: 0
  • All time sales: 0
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.0225
  • Volatility: 8.43%
  • Liquidity: 0.0%
  • Decision: ✋ Hold
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 801
  • Price forecast change in a month: -7.72%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 896
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 3.23%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 898
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 806
Action
❌ Avoid
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 806
Action
✋ Hold
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 762
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 869
Action
✋ Hold
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 898
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 799
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 801
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 801
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 801
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 802
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 802
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 806
Action
❌ Avoid
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 806
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 806
Action
✋ Hold
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 805
Action
✋ Hold
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 779
Action
✋ Hold
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 762
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 807
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 868
Action
❌ Avoid
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 869
Action
✋ Hold
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 868
Action
✋ Hold
November 5, 2025
Price
$ 868
Action
✋ Hold
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
18
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 18 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
50%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened was the first to appear in CS2 on August 1st, 2018, when the game got a new update adding this knife to the list of available knives in the game. This super-popular knife was first dropped as a rare item in the Danger Zone Case, released together with the "A New Horizon" update, which thrilled players with its awesome Case Hardened finish.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) was presented to the CS2 community by opening Danger Zone Case or Horizon Case containers, giving players a chance to get this highly sought-after skin. Unlike some other skins, the Case Hardened variant of the ★ Ursus Knife does not belong to any collections, making it unique and exclusive in a player's inventory.

Popularity

Popularity

Currently, StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) enjoys a high demand and 90% popularity in the market. Due to its rarity and pattern, it is highly sought after, hence its popularity among the CS2 community. This is measured in terms of the volume of sales per day and the market price; hence, it is considered one of the most coveted items in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is a skin of one of the 391 knife skins available in CS2. It has a Covert rarity classification, making it an extremely rare drop and is estimated at only 0.26% chance to drop.

Availability

Availability

StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is a popular skin in CS2. The price for this skin ranges from $160.33 to $515.97, but despite the higher price, this skin is currently widely available and can be bought on several markets. In fact, 5.3K units of the Case Hardened in public CS2 inventories make it a pretty popular choice among collectors and players.

Versions

Versions

The StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) provides all the different exterior versions available for CS2, from floats ranging from 0.00 up to 1.00. This lets collectors and players find this iconic knife in any of the various wear conditions while also including a StatTrak version for added rarity and desire of this skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment toward the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) in CS2 is extremely positive, having a 4.5-star rating out of 5 stars with over 2.6K votes on addskins.gg. On top of that, it is further reinforced by being owned by professional CS2 player fang.

Finish style

Finish style

The factory new condition of this StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife really shows off this beautiful case-hardened skin, blending blue and gold hues nicely. Highly affected by the pattern index, higher pattern indices will result in stronger colors and finer details of the design; no two knives are exactly alike.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 801 (-7.72%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 896 (3.23%). Confidence is low — it is advised to hold.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players