StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)

4.5 2620 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 5
+2.75%
Last month
$ 52
+38.52%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 232
+23.87%
In a quarter
$ 198
+5.72%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
100% - Forecast accuracy
100% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
24 offers on 9 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)
Gallery
★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 187
  • 7 days low: $ 182
  • 7 days high: $ 861
  • 7 days price change: 2.75%
  • 30 days low: $ 135
  • 30 days high: $ 1 642
  • 30 days price change: 38.52%
  • 90 days low: $ 135
  • 90 days high: $ 1 642
  • Year low: $ 135
  • Year high: $ 41 889
  • All time low: $ 135
  • All time high: $ 41 889
  • All time max offers: 39
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 1
  • Sales for last 30 days: 16
  • Sales for last 90 days: 24
  • All time sales: 48
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.3768
  • Volatility: 10.74%
  • Liquidity: 8.04%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 232
  • Price forecast change in a month: 23.87%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 198
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 5.72%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 230
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 227
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 238
Action
❌ Avoid
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 144
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 144
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 187
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 43.68
30.38%
Result
👍 Success
November 7, 2025
Price
$ 230
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 210
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 205
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 226
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 226
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 226
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 227
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 233
Action
✋ Hold
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 224
Action
✋ Hold
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 238
Action
❌ Avoid
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 234
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 237
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 242
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 221
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 144
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 144
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 187
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 43.68
30.38%
Result
👍 Success
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 43.68
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 144
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
100%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
100%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Related
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Description

History

History

The ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened was born into CS2 life on August 1st, 2018, when it was added with the rest of the weapon skins in the game. It was included in the Danger Zone Case, released along with the "A New Horizon" update, allowing players the opportunity to wield this striking and highly sought-after blade in their virtual fights.

Origin

Origin

The ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened skin is one of the most exotic and rare in CS2-gameplay; it can be opened only in cases when one gets a Danger Zone Case or Horizon Case container. It does not have a part of any collections, therefore highly exclusive and of greater value in the game.

Popularity

Popularity

Accordingly, the popularity of StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) in CS2 is incredibly high at 90%, while this knife is one of the most popular items. That fact reflects in the volume of sales every day and in the price premium such items have on the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) is one of the other 391 knife skins. With a rarity level of Covert, this gun has an ultra rare drop rate and can only achieve about 0.26% of skin drops.

Availability

Availability

The Case Hardened Field-Tested StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife for CS2 is a popular skin that is widely available but costs quite much - somewhere between $160.33 and $515.97. Easily find it on many markets due to its widespread availability, about 5.3K units of this Case Hardened variant are in the current public inventories of CS2.

Versions

Versions

The StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened Field-Tested may be available in all skins of CS2, but with varying float values between 0.00 and 1.00, thus permitting the player to use the skin in different conditions. Each skin also has a corresponding exterior in StatTrak variation that adds kill tracking onto the knife.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment regarding the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) in CS2 is very positive, as it has a rating of 4.5 stars out of 5 on addskins.gg, with over 2.6K votes. What's more, this skin gained fame among professional CS2 players because it is currently owned by fang, one of the well-known players in the competitive scene.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife has a beautiful "Patina" style, featuring a Case Hardened finish that emulates a hardened shell through a chemical reaction. Because of its pattern index, there is always a surprise; it will really be a catch in a very flashy blade since shades of blue and gold dance across.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) is expected grow to $ 232 (23.87%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 198 (5.72%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.26
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players