StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)

4.5 2605 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 14
+9.79%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 234
+48.86%
In a quarter
$ 256
+62.86%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
60% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
31 offers on 8 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)
Gallery
★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 157
  • 7 days low: $ 157
  • 7 days high: $ 888
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 143
  • 30 days high: $ 2 771
  • 30 days price change: 9.79%
  • 90 days low: $ 143
  • 90 days high: $ 2 771
  • Year low: $ 143
  • Year high: $ 37 083
  • All time low: $ 143
  • All time high: $ 37 083
  • All time max offers: 81
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 1
  • Sales for last 30 days: 11
  • Sales for last 90 days: 13
  • All time sales: 33
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: 1.15
  • Volatility: 9.45%
  • Liquidity: 4.89%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 234
  • Price forecast change in a month: 48.86%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 256
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 62.86%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 217
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 234
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 228
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 222
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 222
October 5, 2025
Price
$ 217
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 210
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 211
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 234
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 234
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 234
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 228
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 221
Action
❌ Avoid
September 3, 2025
Price
$ 227
Action
❌ Avoid
September 11, 2025
Price
$ 230
Action
❌ Avoid
September 19, 2025
Price
$ 242
Action
❌ Avoid
September 27, 2025
Price
$ 222
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 222
October 5, 2025
Price
$ 231
Action
🔥 Buy
October 13, 2025
Price
$ 223
Action
🔥 Buy
October 21, 2025
Price
$ 185
Action
🔥 Buy
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 197
Action
🔥 Buy
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 222
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
60%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) was added to the CS2 collection of weapon skins on August 1st, 2018, along with the "A New Horizon" update, where a new Danger Zone Case was brought in. Since then, the skin has become pursued as a knife skin due to its Case Hardened pattern and the fact that it's able to have the StatTrak killings.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) first appeared in the CS2 community alongside containersDanger Zone Case, Horizon Case, and allowed players a chance to obtain this incredibly unique and popular skin. Besides, unlike most of the knife skins, ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) doesn't appear in any collections, hence being an utterly unique in-game skin.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is highly sought after, with a popularity rating of 90%. Its desirability is evident through its consistent high daily sales volume and the premium price it commands in the CS2 skin market, solidifying its position as one of the most coveted items in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is a rarity in CS2, totaling only 391 unique skins in the game. With the Covert rarity, the skin of Case Hardened has an extremely minute drop chance of only 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

Falling in one of the higher ends in price, the range in which the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened can exist in is from $160.33 to $515.97 for CS2. Currently available and in stock, numerous skins can be sought on certain marketplaces. There are roughly 5.3K units of this very skin in public inventories within CS2 alone.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is in the range of 0.38-0.45, which shows moderate wear and tear but still with marked scratches, but the pattern is faded a little. Therefore, all exterior versions are available, while there is also a StatTrak version for every exterior, which allows the players to track their kills with this unique and battle-scarred knife.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Community sentiment-This StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) for CS2 is pretty great; the average rating is 4.5 out of 5 stars, per over 2.6K votes on addskins.gg. Moreover, it is popular enough to be part of the professional CS2 player fang's inventory.

Finish style

Finish style

This well-worn Case Hardened finish on the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife has a perfect blend of blue and gold hues, with a distinguished pattern index. The patina effect gives it a wear mark, just like actual case hardening would provide to a knife, further adding an element of reality to its design.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 234 (48.86%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 256 (62.86%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.41
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players